Chapter 7 A Country of Heroes: A Psychological Index Every Chinese Should Have

Resource allocation in the future: whoever is powerful will have the final say It should be said that everyone was a victim of the economic crisis in 2008. Now everyone seems to be pinning their hopes on China.But as time went by, China's own economic problems became more and more obvious.What is the nature of the problem?Is it because we don't have "big goals" or "big goals" are wrong?This is an unavoidable question. In fact, before the financial crisis broke out in the United States, many young people were already very pessimistic on the Internet. They knew that China could not win a war by luck, and through victory, complete industrial reintegration and finally achieve its rise.According to their words, it is better for us to fail completely, and finally stimulate us to truly realize the reality of this era and this world.Speaking with a pessimistic attitude, China will know what the "big goal" is by then.There are still many young people who believe that this economic crisis should be used as an opportunity to "buy the bottom" on Western countries' technology and equipment, just as the Soviet Union did with the US economic crisis in 1929.

In fact, their idea is based on the original "big goal". With China's economic development and information opening, young people have more and more channels to obtain information and knowledge.Young people can simultaneously receive and process information through QQ, MSN, and mobile phone text messages. Their efficiency in obtaining and processing information is much higher than that of the previous generation.Recently, the latest missile warning satellite D-23 launched by the United States failed. What is its significance?Many young people know that there was an article in the American "Aviation Weekly" on April 8, 2007, "DSP satellites are monitoring aggressive Chinese missile tests", which is very easy for young people to understand. Think that this is the rule of this world, the boss must do everything possible to maintain his boss status, and the rising powers must be more willing to fight for equality.When the interests of the two parties conflict and cannot be reconciled, they will naturally resort to force or threat of force.It is natural to have this idea in the minds of young people, and of course, many say it is wrong.But you have to admit that the United States is precisely the biggest exporter of violent culture through video games and blockbusters.For example, in the violent attacks in India not long ago, those young terrorists were dressed almost the same as a video game released in the United States when these people were younger - "Half-Life", and the people in that game also used rifles It is similar to grenades, and even the posture of holding a gun. Isn't this the result of connecting with the West?

The economic crisis caused by the financial crisis has just begun. What will the next trend look like and how much damage will it cause?It can be said that no one can make it clear that those economists who appear in the media every day have never encountered such a large-scale crisis. In past experience, economic crisis leading to war is undoubtedly the worst outcome.Taking a step back, even if this economic crisis is over, what about the next one?If there is no such possibility, why does the United States want to develop a ballistic missile defense system to limit other people's nuclear weapons while maintaining the most advanced nuclear weapons?Let me still give the example of missile early warning satellites. If the plan for missile early warning after the end of the Cold War is followed, the United States will be equipped with more advanced missile early warning satellites in 2012. Such satellites can launch China and Russia within 10 to 20 seconds. The signal of the intercontinental missile is captured, and then it is quickly transmitted to the ground station for processing, and then transmitted to the anti-missile platform of the United States in Eastern Europe and the United States and Japan in the Western Pacific. In theory, it can be intercepted during the take-off stage of Russian and Chinese intercontinental missiles.Therefore, when China successfully shot down an abandoned weather satellite with a missile in January 2007, young people on the Internet cheered; when Zhai Zhigang, an astronaut of the "Shenzhen VII", successfully left the cabin, young people who like military affairs were also so excited. Can you think of the difference between their excitement and the excitement of people with different knowledge structures?What special meaning is there in their agitation?In fact, what is underlying here is a question of China racing against others.China's economy has developed, but the world's resources are limited, how to allocate these resources?Isn't it that whoever has the most powerful gun has the final say?Doesn't Russia know the importance of economic development?But when you develop to a certain level, you will be restricted by others, and you can only be their energy provider and provider of cheap products.The reason is very simple, you can't beat others, and when they want to deal with you when they are unreasonable, they will deal with you.

What does the real world look like, and what is the future trend?In fact, this is a question that every young person will care about.Since Taiwan of China was occupied by Japan in 1895, our maritime security boundary has been drawn in the Taiwan Strait. Isn't the current security boundary still in the Taiwan Strait?It can be said that China has not changed on this point after more than 100 years. Of course, young people now think that the reason why this situation is still the same is because China does not have an aircraft carrier. In fact, this is not just a problem with aircraft carriers.Someone asked me a lot recently: Does China want to build an aircraft carrier?I didn't answer directly, but first asked them to tell me what an aircraft carrier is in simple words.As a result, most people can't answer it.This is not just a question of knowledge structure, but also a question of understanding the nature of the problem.Later I said that the aircraft carrier is the "sword" in the principle of "doing business with a sword" that has been believed and adhered to since the Western Industrial Revolution.From a scientific point of view, an aircraft carrier is a complex combat system, and it is a combat platform that integrates the achievements of modern industrial development.In World War II, the United States established its position as the world leader by relying on aircraft carriers, and later maintained its hegemony by relying on aircraft carriers.Does a country that wants to own an aircraft carrier have a potential impulse to challenge hegemony?I think there is, and this underlying impulse actually reflects a dissatisfaction with China's real security environment. This mentality is certainly related to the historical tragedy of being beaten to pieces by Western gunships, but more importantly, related to the real world.I can be sure that even if Taiwan returns one day, the Chinese will still want aircraft carriers, or more advanced maritime combat ships than aircraft carriers.Behind this is actually the desire to have a "big goal".

After this economic crisis, many young people who love military affairs and history immediately thought of the performance of the former Soviet Union when the West fell into an economic crisis in 1929.The Soviet Union took advantage of the economic crisis in the United States at that time to complete the most important industrial upgrade.According to the U.S. State Department report at the time, two-thirds of the Soviet Union's large heavy chemical companies had technology from the United States.In other words, if the Soviet Union did not take advantage of the economic crisis in the West at that time to buy technology and equipment, it would have been impossible to defeat fascist Germany in the Second World War.I remember that not long ago Xinhua News Agency released an inconspicuous news, saying that Tianshui Xingguang Machine Tool Company acquired 81% of the shares of a French CNC machine tool company.For such a small piece of news, young people on the Internet have been discussing and excited for a long time.In fact, this trend is consistent with the scientific outlook on development, industrial upgrading, and technological innovation proposed at the 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. It should be a trend of convergence between statistical culture and ruling culture.To put it bluntly, young people know that it is impossible to live a good and comfortable life in today's world without the foundation of the military industry, and this is the key point of the future game between the West and China.The West would not want to see this thing in China. They think that Germany and Japan have been completely overwhelmed by so much effort, and Russia has also been semi-disabled. Now there is another China that is about to realize industrialization and develop according to the West itself. Logically, this is unacceptable.Therefore, no matter from the perspective of historical experience or reality, it is impossible for China to be unprepared for war.China's population, resources, terrain, and high organizational capabilities, as well as its desire for economic development and energy needs, may be the natural conditions for China to invite wars, and they are also the backbone of the future world's true harmony.

If we don't set big goals, China will have no chance Now that the United States and Russia are competing on the surface, many people in China think that China can stand aloof, cover up its position, and then benefit from it. In fact, this is impossible. Now there are indications that the role that can stand aloof is precisely India.Big countries, especially big countries that have fought for hegemony, know that raising tigers is a problem. Even if India is a tiger in the future, the tiger is still too small, while the tiger in China is already big enough and cannot be kept anymore. It must be killed immediately, but at least it must be restricted, right?It is now certain that the United States will definitely return to a more realistic foreign policy after a "hegemonic leap forward" by the Bush administration, and the experience of the British Empire must be learned behind this.In fact, the British attach great importance to India. The British ruled India for a long time. It is said that the British believe that Hinduism can be integrated with Western religions.British historian Toynbee believed during the Cold War that India played a pivotal role in the entire Western strategy.

The friction between India and Pakistan in this financial crisis is indeed very worthy of attention. We thought that the conflict was far away in the Middle East and had nothing to do with us, or it had something to do with the issue of oil prices.But now we are in Pakistan, our most critical western front, we must not just sit back and watch Pakistan be crippled by India.At the same time, in the long run, we don't need to consume our own strength with India.Many scholars say that this will test the wisdom of the Chinese leadership. In fact, this is nothing. No matter how smart you are without strength, it is useless. You should know such a simple truth. Strength is your ability to contain wars around you.To put it bluntly, once there is a conflict, you have the ability to send peacekeeping troops so that neither side dares to move.But do you have this ability now? In 2005, the United States not only ignored the dissatisfaction of China and other countries, but unilaterally signed a civilian nuclear energy cooperation agreement with India, and even the then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld signed an intention to jointly develop a ballistic missile defense system with India. Contain China on the back of China?As for Russia’s deployment of ballistic missile defense systems against the United States in Eastern Europe, those countries in Eastern Europe are not nuclear powers anyway, but India is a nuclear power, and with a neighbor like Pakistan, it is inevitable for India to seize nuclear superiority.According to India's nuclear weapons program in 2000, India will manufacture more than 300 nuclear warheads by 2030, and once the United States cooperates with India in civilian nuclear energy according to the agreement, Indian scientists will not only have access to the world's first-class nuclear technology, but are likely to learn from The United States obtained the technology to enrich uranium.Once the nuclear balance in South Asia is broken, China's power will be greatly constrained: in the east, naval power cannot break through the Taiwan Strait and the first island chain controlled by the United States and Japan; in the west, there is India, a nuclear power with the support of the United States, How can you get a safe environment to grow the economy?What's more, how will the "Tibet independence" forces, which are almost unanimously supported by the West, behave?

After the outbreak of the financial crisis, many domestic economists believe that the US still has a stock of technology, so the US economy will continue to revive.But when I asked about the stock of technology, they couldn't tell.In my opinion, the real technology stock in the United States is military technology. If there was a technology stock that could stimulate the economy back then, the United States, a country as smart as a technology-based country, would definitely not go back to real estate after the technology bubble burst.Will the next accumulation of technological stock be driven by war?From the perspective of the United States, it is best that the next war is not a war in which the United States participates. It is best that it is like the proxy wars in history. It is undoubtedly the best choice for the United States to provide arms to consume the national power of a major country that may become an opponent.So which two countries to choose?To this end, I asked some people, and some of them answered that they belonged to China and Japan, and some answered that they belonged to China and India.I think the former is less likely than the latter at present.From the negative side, this is the big question of who is China's imaginary enemy.If we follow the above two assumptions, then our battlefield construction and countermeasures may be different, but one thing is the same, that is, to change our industrial layout from tilting towards the southeast coast to a national balanced layout, and at the same time accelerate our Midwest construction.And this is consistent with the economic restructuring we now hope for.Of course we can do everything possible to avoid war, but the situation is very complicated and we must be prepared.For example, in the west of our country, the current infrastructure needs to be connected with the economy of the east to further provide corresponding guarantees for our military's military operations in the west.And this may involve land consolidation in the west, including the early implementation of the plan for the west route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project.Now, we are facing great resistance in the adjustment of economic structure, whether it is the interests of local governments or interest groups.However, if the country examines this issue from the perspective of security and considers this issue from the perspective of war preparation, many problems will be solved much easier.

The problem now is that no matter from the outbreak of the financial crisis or the recent tension between India and Pakistan caused by the terrorist attack in Mumbai, it shows that there is not much time left for China.For a while there was an opinion: We have plenty of time.But judging from China's military transformation and national defense construction, we must not lightly say that the strategic initiative is on our side.Although the situation in Taiwan has eased, we may not be able to rest assured that our economic wealth is concentrated on the southeast coast, because we are facing the most powerful foreign military presence in that direction; Weak, but after all, it is a confrontation between two nuclear powers. Once a misfire occurs, it is not a small problem.Moreover, our garrison and combat conditions in the west are relatively poor, which will have a relatively large negative impact on the combat effectiveness of our army.

It is worth noting that after the terrorist attack in Mumbai, India, there was a strong demand in India to strike Pakistan, and Samar, a Pakistani nuclear scientist, asked the Pakistani president to adhere to the principle of first use of nuclear weapons. Prior to this, Pakistani President Zarda Li promised not to use nuclear weapons first, but he actually said it to the Americans, because after "9.11", the United States and Israel prepared a plan to hijack Pakistan's nuclear weapons. The then US Deputy Secretary of State even blurted out that if Pakistan sided with Osama bin Laden, and the United States would blow Pakistan back to the Stone Age.Just imagine, if Obama comes up to launch military operations against Afghanistan, the situation in Pakistan will be very delicate, and China is the country with the closest military technology cooperation with Pakistan.India currently has about 50 nuclear warheads, and in the May 1998 nuclear test, the hydrogen bomb technology has not yet been realized, which can be said to be one level behind China.However, after the United States signed a nuclear energy cooperation agreement with India in 2006, India's extremely lacking uranium enrichment technology may be helped. India's own plan is to produce 300-400 nuclear warheads in 2030. It should be said that India is trying to achieve a "" nuclear balance".

After the terrorist attack in Mumbai, India, on December 4, an Indian-American wrote an article titled "China and Pakistan: An Evil Nuclear Alliance" on an international analysis website in New York, claiming that China provided Pakistan with Especially after the United States signed the nuclear agreement with India, China immediately signed the nuclear power cooperation agreement with Pakistan, which was shelved in 1994.This voice is a signal for the United States to solve the financial crisis and cultivate war agents that consume China's national power.Therefore, we must have long-term plans and look at problems from the perspective of crisis. Some things cannot be covered up by a so-called "strategic opportunity period".They are in a competitive relationship with you, how can they wait until you have all the conditions to rise before interfering with you?Taiwan's problems are actually more complicated than when the DPP was on stage. It can be said that Ma Ying-jeou is the product of the "conjoined twin" economy between China and the United States. The "baby" economy will change, which in turn will change China's security environment, or the east, or the west. The peaceful environment for China's rise is definitely not as easy as we imagined. It can be said that it is more complicated than when Germany, Japan, and Russia completed industrialization and tried to achieve their rise. .Although the form may change, the essence will never change.What is the proportion of war factors here?How much does it cost to contain war?Are our strength preparations and strategic layout considered from a long-term goal?All these require us to seize the time to deal with them. Finally, I want to go back to young people.There is an interesting phenomenon. In China, although there is a huge market for Super Girls and Super Boys, programs about military affairs are also very attractive.For example, Phoenix TV's "Military Observation Room" is always the number one program on Phoenix TV, and no other program has ever been number one.The Central Four's "Follow Today", as long as military-themed programs are broadcast, the ratings will go up.Although these programs still have problems of one kind or another, why do so many people watch them?It can be seen that military issues are of great concern among the public, or that security issues are more concerned by the Chinese.Then why don't we follow the trend of this cultural change and combine the strengthening of national defense with the adjustment and upgrading of China's industrial structure and the development of technological innovation? China will hold a military parade in 2009, and at the same time commemorate the heroes of the previous revolutionary wars. I think this is very necessary.I know that there are some online groups of military fans, who meet regularly to engage in activities.For example, there is an organization of military fans. They recently filmed a DV called "1979" to commemorate the soldiers who died in the self-defense counterattack.The plot is very simple, that is, a group of people wearing sixty-five-style military uniforms sit in a large auditorium, and then leave one by one, and finally there is only one person left, implying that those who left will stay in southern Xinjiang of China.Some of these young people are shop assistants, some are engineers, and some are editors, but they all shed tears during the filming.These young people maintain the honor of Chinese soldiers on various websites. In essence, they yearn for nobility and sublimation.In fact, in today's commercialized society, integrating this desire of young people is an important step for the country to maintain its vitality.During his 8 years in office, Bush Jr. kept emphasizing Puritan things, didn't he hope that young people in the United States would follow the grand strategy designed by American neoconservatism to further consolidate the interests of the United States in the world?But Bush Jr. really overestimated the strength of the United States, which has grown from a prime of life to an old age, and played too big. What about China?To be honest, there is not much time left for China, and the aging society is also approaching China. If you are not sure about a "big goal", I am afraid there will be no chance!