Home Categories political economy How long will it take for China to overtake the US

Chapter 12 Chapter 7 China can "get rich overnight"

How many cheap goods does China provide to the world, especially how many manufacturing products China has been bought by the US printing money? This is a question that must be clarified. If you don't see it, you don't know it, but you will be shocked when you see it. The data of any commodity is enough to make people stunned.How many pairs of leather shoes has China exported? In 2006 it was 1.39 billion pairs and in 2007 it was 1.31 billion pairs. How many TVs were exported? According to the data in 2006, there were more than 95 million units. How many pairs of sports shoes (cloth shoes with rubber or plastic soles) were exported?

In 2006, 1.288 billion pairs of... Let's take a look at the following table again, which shows the export of various products in China in 2006 and 2007.Due to space limitations, I only selected a small part of the exports of goods made in China (for the full version, please refer to the 2008 China Statistical Yearbook http://www.sei.gov.cn/hgjj/yearbook/2008/indexCh.htm).The unit of the amount in the table is ten thousand dollars. These are the tip of the iceberg of all China's export products. Through these data, you have to admit that China has actually "supported" the whole world, of course mainly Europe and the United States, and the United States is the first to bear the brunt.The achievements of Chinese laborers have enabled Americans to live a prosperous life. China is the second largest trading partner of the United States in terms of trade value. In fact, in terms of physical objects, it is undoubtedly China that provides the most goods to the United States.The largest trading partner of the United States is Canada. You have to know that Canada itself is also a developed country. The products it exports to the United States are not cheap. For the same total value, China pays many times more than Canada.

Let's take a look at China's trade surplus with other developed countries. The following is the data for 2008: US$266.33 billion, UK US$41.31 billion, France US$21 billion, Germany US$37.4 billion, Canada US$30.03 billion, Italy US$25.13 billion, Spain US$22.06 billion, Japan US$18.59 billion, Netherlands US$13.2 billion, Poland US$1.53 billion, New Zealand $2.48 billion, Israel $2.44 billion and Ireland $2 billion. Everyone needs to know that such a surplus is produced under the exploitative trade pattern of developed countries against China. They export high-tech products and fake products (brands, entertainment, finance, etc.) to us, and their prices are extremely high. Expensive, except that high-tech products are really useful to us, the deceitful prices of these imaginary things have greatly concealed the extent of our support for Europeans and Americans.

Taking the United States as an example, the bilateral trade volume between China and the United States in 2008 was US$409.25 billion, of which US exports to China were US$71.46 billion, imports from China were US$337.79 billion, and the US trade deficit was US$266.33 billion.If you think about it, the US$71.46 billion export of high-tech products to China is only a small part, and most of the rest are fake products such as brands, entertainment, and finance. Pitiful.If China also has enough powerful virtual industries to fight against the United States, the prices of these products in the United States will be brought back to their original shape, and a pair of Nike shoes will reveal its true face of wealth: it is the same as our Chinese-made shoes, it is Just a pair of shoes.The real wealth of the 71.46 billion US dollars of goods sold to us by the Americans is far less than what this figure presents. The real wealth of these things may only be worth 1/10 of the 71.46 billion US dollars.In other words, the real wealth that China gave to the United States in vain is far greater than 266.33 billion US dollars, but more than 60 billion US dollars must be added.

If what is said here is not clear enough, let's talk about the logic below.Look at how the European and American deceitful GDP and commodity prices cover up their exploitation of China and the fact that China supports them. Crude steel output increased by 25.4% year-on-year; cement output increased by 26.5% year-on-year; electrolytic aluminum output increased by 45.6% year-on-year; automobile output increased by 92.4% year-on-year; An increase of 29.7%; color TV output increased by 68.6%; computer output increased by 41.3%; yarn output increased by 26.6%; cloth output increased by 51.2% year-on-year!

The data is simply divided into four categories, welcome to add. 1. Basic industrial data: 1. Crude steel output: 568 million tons, accounting for 46.6% of the world share, exceeding the sum of the 2nd to 20th places; 2. Steel output: 696 million tons; 3. Cement output: 1.63 billion tons, exceeding 50% of the world share %; 4. Electrolytic aluminum output: 12.85 million tons, accounting for 60% of the world share; 5. Refined copper output: 4.13 million tons, accounting for 25% of the world share; imports of 4.3 million tons, copper consumption exceeded 8 million tons, accounting for the world 50% of refined copper production; 6. Coal production: 3.05 billion tons, accounting for 45% of the world share; 7. Crude oil production: 189 million tons; imports of 204 million tons, consumption accounting for 11% of the world share; 8. Ethylene production : 10.66 million tons, the second in the world (the United States is the first, there is still a gap with the United States), consumption is 22 million tons, and the self-sufficiency rate is about 50%; 9. Fertilizer output: 66 million tons, accounting for 35% of the world share; 10 , Plastic output: 44.793 million tons;

2. Infrastructure data: 1. The installed capacity of new power generation is 89.7 million kilowatts, and the total installed capacity reaches 860 million kilowatts (1 billion kilowatts in the United States); 16,000 kilometers of construction started; 3. 98,000 kilometers of new highways were opened to traffic (including expressways), and 381,000 kilometers of new rural roads were rebuilt; 4. 5,557 kilometers of new railway lines were put into operation, including 2,319 kilometers of dedicated passenger lines; 4,129 kilometers of double lines were put into operation; The total mileage is 86,000 kilometers (second only to the United States); 12,000 kilometers were newly started in 2009.

3. Industrial product data: 1. The output of automobiles is 13.79 million, accounting for 25% of the world share, ranking first in the world; 2. The completed shipbuilding volume is 42.43 million dwt, accounting for 34.8% of the world share; new orders are 26 million dwt, accounting for 61.6% of the world share ; 188.17 million DWT orders in hand, accounting for 38.5% of the world share; 3. Computer output of 182 million units, accounting for 60% of the world share; 4. Color TV output of 98.99 million units, accounting for 48% of the world share; 5. Refrigerator output of 59.3 million 6. The output of air conditioners was 80.78 million units, accounting for 70% of the world share; 7. The output of washing machines was 49.35 million units, accounting for 40% of the world share; 8. The output of microwave ovens was 60.38 million units, accounting for 70% of the world share; 70% of the world's share; 9. The output of mobile phones is 619 million units, accounting for 50% of the world's share.

4. Light industrial products: 1. The output of yarn is 23.935 million tons, accounting for 46% of the world share; 2. The output of cloth is 74 billion meters; 3. The output of chemical fiber is 27.3 million tons, accounting for 57% of the world share. There are two illusions that conceal the fact that China supports developed countries in Europe and America. The first illusion is GDP. I talked about the absurdity of US GDP in Chapter 6, and now I will continue to talk about that logic.In fact, it is not just the U.S. GDP that is ridiculous. In fact, almost all developed countries have similar characteristics. The tertiary industry in developed countries in Europe, America and Japan accounts for more than 70% of GDP.In fact, not only the United States is printing money to buy Chinese goods, but also Europe. Although their euro is not as powerful as the US dollar, it is after all an international currency second only to the US dollar.They can also print money for shopping to some extent similar to the US.As long as you print money for shopping (here refers to the country printing money to buy things from foreigners), then its GDP is as absurd and deceitful as the United States.They are the same as the United States. The tertiary industry is just a means of distributing money. The so-called GDP output value of the tertiary industry is just a trick to deceive people.We must not be deceived by the figures of GDP. Don't think that a country's total GDP is higher than ours, which means that they have produced more wealth.Their high output value just took away our wealth, or in other words, their high GDP is just the means to take away our wealth: setting the wages of employees in the tertiary industry extremely high, the first The "output value" of the tertiary industry is also extremely high, and employees in the tertiary industry get high incomes to buy Chinese products.In fact, these people have not created any wealth, which is the same as the government directly sending money to them.

Everyone knows what GDP means, right?It refers to the sum of the value of all goods and services in a country within a certain period of time (usually one year). Attention everyone, the key here is the value of labor services. "Labor services" do not create material products. As long as developed countries set the cost of labor services extremely high, then the total output value of these labor services will be extremely high. These output values ​​are GDP, then the proportion of the tertiary industry in the country's GDP is extremely high.I have given an example in Chapter 6 to illustrate how developed countries create such a false GDP through this arrangement, and then the citizens get enough currency to buy Chinese goods and live a happy and prosperous life.In fact, the formation of this situation is probably not done consciously by the European and American governments, but is still blind, or formed by chance.The reason for the extremely high labor costs in Europe and the United States is actually the work of trade unions.The trade unions in the United States are nicknamed "union vampires". Even in the recession, the trade unions refused to give up on workers' benefits and wages, and many companies died like this.The labor union makes the labor remuneration of any worker ridiculously high, and the tertiary industry (service industry) is directly human labor. I will help you move, water the flowers, and wash your hair. , People who have been to Europe and the United States know how expensive their moving companies are.

An international student in Germany recorded his related experience: "I woke up early to help my classmates move...not too many things...everything was moved downstairs, into the car, and upstairs again, It took 3 hours to reassemble the furniture until it was basically completed... After the calculation, it was 26 euros per hour per person, plus 4 hours of round trip time on the road, a total of 416 euros. Dismantling the bed, moving the sofa and so on seems to be extra I paid 3 euros, the gas fee seems to be 25 euros, and there is another fee of 80 euros, which is 527 euros, plus 19% tax, and the total is 627 yuan. God, moving, and it is so short The distance, the labor in Germany is really expensive!... I am determined not to find a moving company.” (http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_5067b6fc0100c6kw.html) Do you calculate how much RMB is equivalent to 627 euros? , Do you feel a little scary.So, is the price of these services really formed by the market, and is it really worth such a high price?Of course not, the huge trade unions and potentially huge labor movement pushed workers' wages to the sky. As long as you have studied economics, you know that such high labor costs are a common phenomenon in a country, so it is no wonder that the country's economy is not paralyzed.But why are European and American countries not paralyzed, because China saved them.Originally, if the United States was closed and its labor costs were so high, it would be useless for those Americans to spend more dollars, because the United States had no products to buy, so high wages would only cause inflation. But after China, With these high wages, they can continuously buy Chinese goods.It’s still back to my argument: the essence of their high wages is just printing money for shopping, and their GDP does not mean that they have created any wealth, but swept away our wealth.The deceitful GDP conceals the fact that China supports Europeans and Americans, making people mistakenly think that European and American countries have really created a lot of wealth. In fact, their affluent lives are all exchanged from China with worthless waste paper.China has lost a lot. The second illusion is price. The prices of products in Europe and the United States are ridiculously high, and the prices of products of the same quality as ours are generally dozens of times that of ours. What is the reason?As I've said many times, it's the brand. Brands lead to high prices and huge profits on their products, again obscuring the truth of wealth creation.The high output value caused by the brand also brings a high GDP in numbers, and the world mistakenly thinks that European and American countries have really created so much wealth.In fact, this is outrageously wrong. Brands did not create excess wealth, but took away our wealth.A pair of famous French shoes priced at 10,000 yuan, its essential wealth is a pair of shoes, this pair of shoes sells for 100 yuan, it is a pair of shoes, it sells for 10,000 yuan, it is still a pair of shoes, the world will not sell it for 1 Ten thousand yuan and a little more wealth.Matter is conserved, don't you understand such a simple truth?Its shoes sell for 10,000 yuan, the only effect is that one pair of their shoes can exchange 100 pairs of us, and they become rich, and they are not rich because they created wealth, but because they took away 99 pairs of us Wealth of shoes.What I said earlier was the exploitation of the most primitive international brands. If it is an international brand with virtualized operation like Adidas, the country where the brand is located does not produce products at all, and they earn income purely from the empty shell of the brand. One hundred pairs of shoes are all free: we produce a pair of shoes for them, they label them and sell them to us for 10,000 yuan, and they get 10,000 yuan to buy back 100 pairs of Chinese shoes of the same quality for the enjoyment of their own people.Guys, don't you see it yet?What wealth did they create?Nothing was created, it was all created by us.They just swept away our fortune with branded karate.The deceptive price is the same as the deceptive GDP, which makes people mistakenly believe that Europeans and Americans have really created wealth. What should we do in the face of these two illusions. The solution is naturally to fight poison with poison.You use the method of accumulating false GDP in the tertiary industry to realize money printing and shopping, and take away our products for nothing, then we will print money and shop by ourselves, and we don’t need your "help" anymore; you create wealth with brand building The illusion comes to take away our wealth, and we can also use fire to fight fire, and use our brand to fight your brand. As our Chinese brand becomes stronger and stronger, you will be beaten back to your original shape: you have not created any wealth. Now you can exchange one of our non-brands for one hundred of your brands; tomorrow your brand can only exchange one of our brands, then your death is coming, where are you going to get the remaining 90? To maintain the affluent life of the people? The deceitful GDP and commodity prices conceal the fact that China is already the country that creates the most wealth in the world, and these astronomical and amazing wealth (products) created by China not only allow Chinese people to start living a well-off life, but also support To protect Europeans and Americans and ensure their affluent life. Now everyone has understood that only real products are real wealth, because they can only satisfy people's needs in the end, and the wealth of a country's people ultimately depends on how much each person consumes of various products. The fake GDP and fictitious brands of Europeans and Americans ultimately rely on the huge amount of products that are fooled into China to provide their citizens, so that their citizens can live a prosperous life. In other words, it is the wealth created by the Chinese that allows Europeans and Americans to live a prosperous life, and we know that a large part of this wealth is taken away by Europeans and Americans empty-handed (printing money for shopping, brand deceit). So think about it, everyone, if we find a way to keep this wealth in the country and distribute it to our own citizens, how rich will we be? Let me do the math for you, the United States has a population of 300 million, and Europe (excluding Russia) has a population of 600 million. We have enabled nearly one billion Europeans and Americans to live a prosperous life. If we give these products to ourselves, we only have a population of 1.3 billion. , then we will become a country as rich as Europe and the United States overnight, and if Europe and the United States do not have our support, they will become starved of supplies overnight, and even fall to the line of food and clothing in the short term (in the long run, they can themselves resume manufacturing or find other countries to replace China to work for them). Need to explain, why do I only talk about Europe and the United States? Because Japan and South Korea deceive us with little wealth, and Japan does not have any false brands. They are all technical brands with high cost performance, and what they sell to us is also a real car with high cost performance. , electronics, etc., basically a fair exchange.If we sell 10,000 shirts to South Korea, we can exchange them for a modern car; if we sell 20,000 shirts to Japan, we can buy a Japanese car. The degree of exploitation of our brand by South Korea is much lower than that of Europe and the United States.In addition, Japan and South Korea are basically unable to fool our wealth by printing money for shopping. Why do you say that China is already the richest country? The reason is that if China finds a way to keep the wealth that was taken away by Europeans and Americans for no reason (please pay attention to these two words), then China will already be as rich as Europe and the United States; and Europe and the United States will be rich without our support. The level has plummeted, and it is obvious that we are number one in the world. In fact, a more accurate statement is not to keep those wealth in China, but whether we can produce those products when Europeans and Americans do not buy them, and let them be owned and used by Chinese people . What does it mean? As I said, the modern economy is an economy with consumption bottlenecks and overcapacity. That is to say, we can produce as much as you need, and there will always be overcapacity.In this kind of economy, consumption determines production, and the greater the consumption demand, the greater the production.If our products are not sold to Europeans and Americans, it is naturally impossible to produce these products, so this huge excess capacity is there. We now have to figure out how to make these excess production capacity run without selling to Europeans and Americans, to produce products, and let these products enable Chinese people to live as rich as Europeans and Americans.As long as we achieve this, we can become the richest country in the world overnight, and China will get rich overnight. Moreover, I have far underestimated the extent to which China can be rich, because China's ability to produce products is far greater than the current situation. I mean, every year and every day for decades, China has not only produced In addition to domestic sales and export products, there is still a huge overcapacity!Otherwise, how do you explain that no matter how the foreign orders of small and medium-sized enterprises in the Pearl River Delta increase (even if they suddenly increase) in the past few decades, they can always produce enough products on time.That is to say, China is fully capable of producing much more products than it is now.If we can find a way to bring out these production capacities to the extreme, and find a way to make these achievements enjoyed by the people of our country instead of being fooled by Europeans and Americans, then we will be richer by many times. In the next two chapters, I will discuss with you how to realize this hypothesis. (Everyone can calculate if these products are given to the Chinese to enjoy themselves, what will our living standard be like)
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