Chapter 9 China can't help but look big

When China decided to send warships to the waters of Somalia to escort merchant ships, I wrote a blog, thinking that the cost of doing so was too high and it was too hasty. Some young people on the Internet did not understand and called me timid.In fact, I am not angry at all. I especially understand that young people want their navy to go out and escort their merchant fleet.This is indeed related to the cowardice that the Chinese suffered when they were opened up by Western strong ships and guns after 1840.I later explained why I thought so in a blog post about a book.At that time, I wrote: The Chinese navy’s escort mission to Somalia is indeed a “pega” from a geographical point of view, but without a formal naval strategy, this “escort” is just a temporary move.Because without the strategic guidance of Sino-Ocean, from the establishment of the supporting logistics supply system to the design of the ship, and then to the cooperation of relevant overseas Chinese companies and overseas Chinese groups, it must be a "chaotic account".However, things in China may be like this. They are all "crossing the river by feeling the stones" first.However, as a country that is striving to achieve modernization, shouldn't it be better to design a strategy first?Because after all, you are leaving later than others, and if you want to catch up with them, you need to design even more.Economically, "crossing the river by feeling the stones" concentrated all the wealth in the southeast coast, not only did not consider the depth of security at sea, but even on land, the air defense facilities that should have been given up to real estate development, waiting for Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian When "Taiwan independence" broke out, it was only when I remembered the introduction of naval equipment and technology from Russia. During the transition period of introduction and digestion, I could only rely on the Second Artillery's strategic missiles to withstand it.This shows how important it is to have a long-term strategic plan!A country cannot live without big goals at any time.

Before China decided to send warships to escort Somalia, China's interests in Africa had already been targeted by the West, and a large part of the reason for boycotting the Olympics was the Sudan issue. In 1985, the United States launched a military game called "Operation Lightning." The content was that the Soviet army invaded the Czech Republic, so the United States sent special forces to cooperate with the Czech guerrillas to attack the Soviet army.Now the United States has played another military game called "Armed Assault". People and a range of industries in Sudan.China's oil interests there are well known, and it is inevitable to establish related supporting industrial clusters in Sudan and Angola. The most important thing is that this model provides a model for Africa's modernization and development that is superior to Western post-colonial models.Doesn't this have anything to do with some people boycotting the Olympics on the grounds of the Sudan issue?If China's interests in Africa are not prepared for big goals, the price it may pay in the future will be very high.China sent warships this time, and the United States, Japan, and South Korea immediately followed up. Even Taiwan also completed the tasks on the map, and finally gave up when they thought there was no way to complete the supply.These trends deserve our attention.

China's going to Africa is a major and potential challenge to the West, both in terms of interests and in terms of reshaping the world order.If China does not go to Africa, it will not be able to solve the bottleneck problem of energy and raw materials.How to solve China's own industrialization and urbanization problems?If this problem is not resolved, years of market economy have whetted everyone's appetite. Will you allow more than 900 million farmers to move to cities?Let their children enjoy the kind of city life they see on TV's "every village" project?If you don't allow it, the legitimacy of your regime will be in question.If so, where does your iron ore and oil come from?How can your manufacturing and trade added value be so low to feed the farmers who have moved into the city?Taking a step back, even if the urbanites don't care about the lives of farmers, they must always care about their own investment interests.What did he think when he knew that his investment in Africa was going to go wrong?In fact, the next step of China's modernization process determines that China will inevitably engage in a commercial war with the West supported by military warfare, which is unavoidable.Since it is unavoidable, we must design it early. If we don't design it and wait for something to happen before we act, that is the real "Boxer".Judging from the current education level of the Chinese people and 60 years of construction experience, China should be able to design big goals.

This economic crisis has shown that all the mechanisms and systems related to finance have not changed. Except for Obama saying something like a blank check to the bottom of the United States, all the big bosses of the empire, and even the elites of some developing countries, do not want to Change anything, because they want too much to maintain and continue the original comfortable life, and want to just hang around like this, is it possible?During this period, there are only two options: one is to go to war, and the other is to let a big country like China continue to support the current development model led by the West with hard-earned money.In a sense, this is the external environment facing China's future development.In fact, it is not that China does not want to change this model. Since 2002, China has put forward slogans such as "industrial upgrading" and "technical innovation" in various official development reports, but the inertia of the original development coupled with the obstacles of interest groups, This change is extremely difficult.But in 2008, there were many turning signs, whether it was the "Olympic torch incident" or the subsequent financial crisis, it was a coincidence that there was an opportunity for China to give birth to a big goal by God's will.During the Beijing Olympics, Israeli President Shimon Peres said that "China will become stronger and the world will be more balanced." China cannot give up its great goal in this world order that relies on its strength.Of course, this process may be relatively long, but the trade friction following the financial crisis is likely to be another tipping point from the external environment.In short, the development of China has reached an era in which the culture of statistics determines the culture of rule. Large and small mass incidents, a large number of unemployed migrant workers in export enterprises, these practical problems can only be solved with a big goal, or there are The big goal is to solve the lowest cost.This big goal is actually a two-handed preparation. One is to transform the economic development model based on dependence and follow-up into an independent and innovation-based model. The second is to prevent people from using war to prevent this transformation. We must develop as soon as possible to strengthen The industry of military strength.