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China and the world in 20 years

China and the world in 20 years

皮埃尔·皮卡尔

  • political economy

    Category
  • 1970-01-01Published
  • 124721

    Completed
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Chapter 1 The world should not be surprised

Our copyright agency in Europe discovered Mr. Picard's "China and the World in 20 Years Later" in July 2011. It took us half a year to complete the publishing process of this book, and now, it is delivered to readers. The book is largely unabridged. Mr. Picard is a doctor of political science from the University of Paris. He has his own completely independent research methods and draws conclusions based on them.His conclusion is like Vogel Vogel, a Harvard scholar who became famous for publishing "Japan's No. 1" around 1980, telling the world: 20 years later, China will be No. 1.

However, the next 20 years will be the most uncertain years in the world.Perhaps that is why Mr. Picard is talking about economics.Politics, military affairs, total human population, and changes in the earth's ecology are all at high risk in today's world as the determining sources behind the economy. The world is skeptical about whether China can be number one. Many people are full of expectations and many people are full of worries. This is exactly the meaning of this book.In the past five years, when this statement tends to be consistent, the world is undergoing profound changes: following the financial crisis in the United States, a deep-seated debt crisis began to break out in Europe.But in fact, the debt crisis of Japan and the United States is far greater than that of any country in Europe.

There is an argument that European welfarism has massively outstripped the productive capacity of countries and the ability of governments to pay.In the United States, military expansionism has worn down its economic capacity, thereby bringing about inevitable decline, and the speed is extremely fast.Japan is at the limit of its national capabilities.China, on the other hand, is undergoing active transformation and adjustment at this time: controlling growth.Under the global economic crisis, especially in the special year of 2012, calm is better than anything else, and administrative intervention is more effective than pure market behavior.Although this approach is controversial.

With the arrival of 2012, all kinds of predictions are flying everywhere.Paul, the master of depression economics, predicted the Chinese economy again in the New York Times... Today is December 21, 2011, a full year since Maya's prophecy of disaster. I believe that every moment of this year is full of topics. China is a country full of strangeness, both traditional and modern, because the time for the country to transform from tradition to modernity is too fast.There has never been a country like China with a population in every corner of the world. Only one data about China No. 1 will spread and jubilate absolutely quickly.China is a country full of strangeness. Its GDP has ranked first in three-quarters of the global history, but it has never gone out to violate the country, but has closed itself.How ever was it like the British Empire covering the world with colonies, like Japan's iron heel in Asia, and like the United States deploying all over the world.It is also true that this book makes me think the most: the first economy will only bring the result of being swallowed, at least in Chinese history, what should I do?

In 20 years, if China is the number one as Mr. Picard said, I believe the security of the world will be higher, because China's experience shows this. The world should not be surprised. China was originally the best country, but after a hundred years of silence in modern times, the industrious China is only recovering.
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