Chapter 17 round-headed worldview

We often encounter two types of people. One type believes that the world is uncertain, and he can only cross the river by feeling the stones and move forward in exploration.The other kind of people think that the world is certain, and they walk with their heads held high while wearing the blindfolds of inherent concepts, but they always don’t cry when they don’t see the coffin, and don’t look back until they hit the south wall. Emperor Wen of the Han Dynasty and his son Emperor Jing promoted "government by doing nothing", which resulted in unprecedented prosperity and prosperity in Chinese history, which was called "the rule of Wen and Jing" by later generations.Because they have figured out the truth that the laws of things are always uncertain.

China's reform and opening up has dramatically increased China's social wealth.One day I went to see my parents, and my father told me: In 1965, our family of three only ate a catty of vegetable oil for the whole year. He used a calculator to calculate the daily amount of oil consumed by each person in our family, which was so small that there were several zeros after the decimal point.In just 30 to 40 years, China has undergone earth-shaking changes. People began to worry about what to do if they have too much money, the impact of too much money on the environment, and the impact of too much money on house prices.After solving the problem of eating and clothing, Chinese people began to care about housing, and there are hundreds of millions of people who want to go to the city, want to go to the city!In official terms, urbanization has become an unstoppable trend.China's economy is developing rapidly, people's living standards have improved, and the demand for housing is so strong that the central bank has to continuously raise interest rates to suppress demand.Today's prosperous scene is all thanks to the reform and opening up. It is attributed to Deng Xiaoping's "crossing the river by feeling the stones" and to the uncertain view of the world held by the predecessors of reform and opening up.

I believe the market is smart and alive.Because the market is made up of the actions of thousands of smart and intelligent people.Most of the time, the market is the superposition of thousands of smart brains, and only in a few cases will it appear as collective irrationality.We should not regard the market as single and unchanging. The market does not shed tears until it sees the coffin, and does not look back until it hits the south wall.Some so-called experts and scholars always like to summarize the fresh market with flesh and blood into a set of dry data and curves, and then use them to predict the market, and guide our behavior in an uncertain market with unchanging definite views. The result must be absurd.

When I went to Sichuan, I heard them criticize people as "square-headed". I think smart people may be called "round-headed". "Square heads" are those who are rigid and dogmatic, and do not look back until they hit the south wall; "round heads" are those who think the world is uncertain and adapt to the situation. I also implement the management method of "doing nothing" in the management of the company. I am often criticized for not understanding management, but I think the healthy and rapid growth of the company proves that my management method is effective.

Recognizing the uncertainty of the world essentially makes us have awe of the unknown world.We haven't even figured out our own body yet, and cancer and AIDS are still endangering human health. How can we figure out everything in the world?People who hold deterministic views are too stubborn, we should be more in awe and cross the river by feeling the stones.