Chapter 21 Part Three Real & Unreal

The man walked into the lobby of the Royal Land with a cheap gold watch wrapped around his right wrist and a pair of gold-rimmed glasses on his nose; he was of medium build, with a stern face and an oily egg-shaped head; piercing eyes behind heavy lenses , wandering around. "Mr. camel, this way." Sakai waved.He sat in the corner of the smoking area, a little distance from the counter; Ruoping sat on the other side of him.The two of them sat around a low table. The camel tour guide walked over and sat down opposite Ruoping.When he saw the bandages on Ruoping's arms, he showed a surprised expression, but he calmly took out the cigarette case, took out a cigarette slowly, and lit it.

The Japanese detective spoke first, "I'm Seiji Sakai, I contacted you earlier, this is Lin Ruoping who assisted in the investigation together... Uh, he suffered a slight injury, I'll mention it later. I'm sorry it's so late We found you out because we thought it necessary to tell you the whole truth, after all, you have personally experienced this case." Tuo Zhen took a deep breath, "Of course, this is really a strange thing...I heard that Chen Shanjun is in the hospital now?" "Yes, he is in a coma now. Although he fell from a low height and the hospital is nearby, he is still in danger. These few days are the critical period."

Tuo Zhen nodded solemnly, "No matter what, I don't want anyone to die. You were looking for me earlier because of the disappearance of the swimming pool, right?" "That's right, we've found the answer to this matter now." Not with words, but with facial expressions, the stunned face was full of astonishment, he took some time to stabilize his emotions, and said, "So, you understand everything It's amazing, and I'd like to hear more about it." "Of course, we think you will be interested. After working as a tour guide for so many years and encountering so many supernatural events, this is the first time you get the answer to the event, right? Not much nonsense, do you know the ins and outs of the whole thing?"

"The so-called ins and outs refer to..." "Involved in a homicide case in Taiwan, China." "...I don't know much about that." "Okay, I'll start from the beginning." Sakai briefly explained the whole thing, obviously he had already sorted out the main points in his head, and the whole narrative was very organized and orderly; starting from Shen Zhaopeng's murder case, including the case Details, investigation details, until the clues connecting the supernatural events in Thailand were discovered, that is, the supernatural photo. Sakai pulled out the photo from the folder and handed it to the camel guide.The other party took the photo, and after taking a look at it, his face turned pale, and the cigarette almost fell out of his mouth, "This, this is fake."

"No, it's real, and there is no sign of artificial synthesis." "However, such a strange creature cannot exist in the world! No, is this a creature?" "The camera is faithful. Since it has captured it, it exists. If it is said that it does not exist just because it cannot be explained, then human beings are too stubborn." "So, what's your explanation?" "This point can be put aside for the time being. I will first briefly describe the incident." It can be seen that Tuo Zhen has not recovered from the astonishment of the supernatural photos, but Sakai continued to explain Qiu Shiling's travel notes on his own, and mentioned the process of the trip to Thailand, which is the whole story of the swimming pool incident; Most clearly, Sakai didn't spend too much time on the details, but when it came to Qiu Shiling and Shen Zhaopeng's incident of the fire and disappearance of the body in Chen Shanjun, Tuo Zhen's eyes widened.

"I don't know anything about it." He shook his head. "Of course, because neither of these two people said anything." Sakai did not explain this point, but continued to describe the development of the incident.Explain how he and Ruoping were entrusted to investigate in Thailand, and what happened in Thailand, including the meeting with Qiu Shiling, and their distress later. "The situation is roughly like this." Sakai said. "Then I understand," the camel tour guide nodded and said to Ruoping, "Your injury shouldn't matter, right?"

"Thank you for your concern, it's just a flesh wound, not fatal." "That's good, it's really..." His expression suddenly became complicated, but he immediately turned to Sakai and asked, "After listening to you, I do have a lot of doubts about this matter. Are you going to Where do you start the explanation?" "Let's explain this matter to Ruoping. After all, he is the one who sees through everything. Right?" "Thanks, Sakai, you have described the incident in an orderly manner...Mr. Tuo, regarding this case, I will explain it in the order of my reasoning and thinking after I came into contact with the incident. Actually, after listening to the summary of Sakai just now, I miss you more or less I can also guess some truths. From the survey data of Chen Shanjun, we can see a lot of clues. Although there is no proof from Chen Shanjun for everything I said below, I can guarantee that it is close to ten. If you are willing to believe me , then I would like to thank you for your patience in listening."

The camel tour guide waved his hand and said with a wry smile, "I don't think I have any other choice." "Okay, let's start!" Ruoping adjusted his sitting posture, and took a sip of the water on the table. There were no other tourists in the lobby, and the business of the hotel was sympathetic these days; the silence of the night pervading the large space was oppressive. "After reading the entire document given to me by the police, I concluded five major mysteries of the case: the disappearance of Dong, the disappearance of Chen Shanjun, the fire in Chen Shanjun's room, the death of Shen Zhaopeng, and the mystery of the ghostly photos. I plan to start from these five mysteries. Just as I was about to take the step of starting with the mystery and looking for a plausible explanation, I immediately realized something important.

"To infer something, we must confirm that all the premises are true before we can reason. In logic, the best way to infer is to use proven true sentences to the premises; a 'sound argument' is The effective inferences of the current premise of the sentence. In reasoning, what we pursue is of course a sound argument. Let us look back at these five mysteries. For investigators, which of these five mysteries can be established objectively and not be accepted Questioned?" "What does this mean?" the camel tour guide frowned and asked. "In other words, which mysteries can be recognized as real? It's like Descartes questioning that everything is a malicious deception of the devil, only to be sure that his own thoughts are real because 'I am thinking' In the same way, we can clearly discern which of the five mysteries 'exist' beyond doubt, that is, can be sure that it happened; Only when it really happened and existed, can we have a basis for our reasoning, otherwise we just stand on the platform of foam, which is illusory and meaningless.

"We can quickly see that the disappearance of Dong, the disappearance of Chen Shanjun, the murder of Shen Zhaopeng, the mystery of the ghost photos, etc., are all events that can be confirmed to have existed and happened. Take the ghost photos as an example, they do exist, It is not the result of synthesis, but a living photo. As for the two disappearances and murders, not only the data can be found in newspapers or the Internet, but also there are many witnesses, all of which can be verified by following the line; unless the media, witnesses Investigators and investigators concocted these lies - which are obviously absurd - otherwise we can be 100% confident that the events did happen, regardless of whether they are actually verified, we are logically able to verify whether they exist. Note , this is very important, logically there is the possibility of engaging in verification behaviors to distinguish these mysteries in nature. Among the five mysteries, only one cannot be proven to have happened, that is, the fire incident in Chen Shanjun's room.

"In the notes, Qiu Shiling put forward his own reasoning on this matter, and finally overturned all possibilities, and walked into an unsolvable dead end; in fact, it is really difficult for readers to find out from the analysis of the situation described in the notes. come up with a reasonable answer. "Let's step away from the anguish of unraveling the incident for a while, and look at it from a broader perspective. There are only two witnesses to this fire case, Qiu Shiling and Shen Zhaopeng. Shen Zhaopeng is dead. Only Qiu Shiling can prove that this happened. If he had lied, then the whole mystery would not have existed, and the basis of this incident in the real world is weak; in comparison, the other four mysteries have strong evidence to support their existence. Therefore, although the fire incident It was the most unsolvable of the whole series of events, and I decided to put it aside for the time being, and deal with other mysteries first. "I decided to start with the disappearance of the swimming pool, which is the core of the case. The two disappearances are in the same situation, and the cause of Shen Zhaopeng's murder comes from photos. In an instant. After analyzing the network connection of the whole incident in this way, it is found that the disappearance case is the key point anyway. The mystery of the photo and the murder case are derived from the disappearance case. On the one hand, deriving the details of the disappearance case can understand the essence of the ghost photo; On the other hand, it can also be related to the identity of the murderer of Shen Zhaopeng. In the following description, I will combine the events of Chen Shanjun and Dong, because the two events are the same, and use the event of Chen Shanjun as the general term. "As long as we don't resort to supernatural explanations, there must be a reasonable answer to this seemingly impossible thing. From the perspective of Chen Shanjun's disappearance, let's take a look at what happened: a person disappeared from the The tenth floor jumped to the swimming pool, and under surveillance, no one left the swimming pool until the water was finally drained and the pool was found to be empty. "There are two contradictory propositions here. (A) Someone did fall into the pool, in other words, the pool could not have been empty. (B) The pool was later found to be empty. "You should know that there is no secret way to leave the swimming pool, and no one leaves the swimming pool after the human body falls into it until the water is released. With these premises, we can be 100% sure that the two propositions A and B are contradictory. According to the law of excluded middle in logic, two contradictory propositions cannot both be false, and one of them must be true; therefore, one of A and B must be true. The question is, which one is true? ? "Both seem to be valid at first glance, but when you look deeper, you will find that one of them does not hold water. Regarding proposition B, the fact that the swimming pool is empty cannot be doubted. Everyone present can prove that there is no Man, let's not forget that the lights were on at the time, there were no hidden corners, and anyone climbing out of the pool would be noticed by others; crowds gathered around the pool until the police came. Therefore, it is safe to say that the pool It is indeed empty. "You may want to refute that the statement that no one left the swimming pool is too sure, but I have another piece of evidence. Shen Zhaopeng took a video camera to film the whole process. He took pictures from the balcony, from the moment the fireball fell into the swimming pool until the police arrived. , no one climbs out of the pool in the film. This is a strong proof that Proposition B is true. "If it is affirmed that proposition B is true, then proposition A is false, that is to say, it is wrong for someone to fall into the swimming pool." "But someone did fall into the swimming pool! I saw it with my own eyes!" Tuo Zhen's tone was a little excited. "There is no doubt that objects did fall into the pool. But since the fact that someone fell into the pool is false, and the fact that 'falling' did occur, the problem probably lies in other parts of the proposition gone." "other parts?" "Well, how can you be sure that the burning body you and the bartender saw was Chen Shanjun?" "Is there any doubt about this?" "Of course there is a lot of doubt," Ruo said calmly, "Our understanding of things is often interpreted based on preconceived prejudices, that is to say, a subjective view is added to a phenomenon. How can you prove that it fell into the swimming pool? The fireball in the middle is Chen Shanjun?" "Qiu Shiling ran down to tell us, and what happened to Dong before, Chen Shanjun is indeed missing." "These are all conjectures and conjectures, not direct proof. You didn't catch the fire ball and test it. Is it really a living Chen Shanjun, right? If not, then you can't be sure. It's just because of the development of the incident later. , you and the bartender took it for granted that it was Chen Shanjun who caught fire and fell from the tenth floor." "Is this kind of suspicion too much?" "Not at all. Since we know that the proposition 'someone fell into the pool' is problematic, we must focus on it to catch suspicious loopholes. I immediately found two reasons to prove that the person you and the bartender saw was not Chen Shanjun. "Thinking about it carefully, the witnesses who witnessed Chen Shanjun jumping from the building can be divided into two categories, the people in the room, and the two people by the swimming pool. The former witnessed Chen Shanjun falling from the balcony, and the latter witnessed the process of Chen Shanjun falling into the swimming pool. There is a gap." "Gap?" Tuo Zhen seemed to slowly stabilize his emotions, and began to chew on what Ruoping said. "That's right. According to the bartender and you, you only looked up when you heard the screams and saw a burning human body fall, but you didn't see him fall from the balcony on the tenth floor." "But……" "This is a misleading standard, using the wrong causal connection!" Sakai, who was silent for a long time, waved his hands and said disapprovingly, "I have seen this kind of situation too much, but I didn't notice it!" Ruoping nodded approvingly, "I didn't realize it at first, but I was always inspired by our great Hume (Scottish philosopher) who told us not to believe in the law of causality. From that moment on, I was always cautious about any suspicious causal connection; And in logic, the causal connection that violates the law of inference is the most abominable... Camel tour guide, because you listened to Qiu Shiling and Michai later, you took it for granted that the burning human body you saw fell from the balcony on the tenth floor There is a discontinuity in the scene witnessed by the two witnesses, which can be said to be the only loophole. Here, we have every reason to suspect that the "burning human body" that you and the bartender saw is not the same as Chen Shanjun who jumped from the building on fire. This is It is necessary to mention the two reasons I just mentioned. These two reasons can be attributed to the contradictions in the testimonies of the two factions of eyewitnesses. "First, the location of the fire is inconsistent. According to you and the bartender, the person who fell was a 'ball of fire'; and according to Qiu Shiling's testimony, only Chen Shanjun's arm was on fire. Within seconds, the fire on the arm quickly spread to the whole body, right? If it could spread, it would have burned long before jumping off the building. "Second, the direction of the fall is inconsistent. The person you and the bartender saw fell in the way of 'head and feet', but the Chen Shanjun that Qiu Shiling saw fell in the way of 'head and feet'. The above two points It shows that what the two witnesses saw was not the same person." "Excuse me for interrupting," Sakai said, "but, have you ever considered the possibility that witnesses are lying?" "Of course there is, but it can be denied. There are two reasons. The first point is less convincing. First, the incident of Dong is the same as that of Chen Shanjun. The incident is Qiu Shiling, and it is unlikely that both Michai and Qiu Shiling lied, especially since there is no connection between the two; if we deny that Michai lied, then it is meaningless to affirm that Qiu Shiling lied, because the circumstances of the two disappearance events are the same . "Secondly, witnesses have no reason to lie. The only reason to lie is to achieve the consummation of the conspiracy. In this way, the witnesses are also accomplices. If the testimony inside and outside the room are consistent, it will be difficult for the perpetrator It is the most perfect; because if there is inconsistency, it may cause suspicion, and then question the consistency of the identity of the dropped person, and even expose the trick of disappearing. From the testimony, maintaining consistency is definitely within the control of the criminal, because It is impossible for him not to be ignorant of details such as the exact location of the fire and the direction of the fall. Inconsistent testimony is of no benefit, and even brings danger. Is this enough to explain it?" "It's reasonable," Sakai raised his hands in surrender, "Go on." "Now that we know that it was not Chen Shanjun who fell into the swimming pool, who would it be? We have previously denied the proposition that someone fell into the swimming pool, but 'falling' is a fact, and the problem lies in 'someone'. It is impossible for people to fall into the swimming pool." The swimming pool disappeared without a trace, so the person who fell into it must not be a person. Camel tour guide, let me ask you, how can you be sure that the person who fell into the swimming pool is a living person?" "Ah?" Tuo Zhen was stunned, "I, I saw a human body with hands and feet..." "But our reasoning tells us it's not human." "It's not a person, otherwise what would it be?" "This is interesting. This object disappears without a trace after entering the water. It is conceivable that it is a substance that disappears when it touches water, and it should be able to burn, otherwise it will not catch fire; moreover, it can also have Shape, after all, you saw a human body in the flames, with hands and feet." "This……" "As far as I guess, it should be sugar." "sugar?" "That's right. Sugar dissolves very quickly in water, and after processing, it is not impossible to make shapes; according to the evidence I found later, it is very likely to be sugar cubes. The dissolution rate is very fast. That is to say, the burning human body you see is actually a sugar doll; there is no face or any detailed structure, only the outline of the body." "This……" "After this burning sugar doll fell into the water, the fire was extinguished by the water as a matter of course, and the sugar cube was denser than water, so it sank to the bottom of the pool. Besides, the lights were dim and the line of sight was not good, so there was no People found the doll at the bottom of the pool. In the first incident, it took a long time from the time the doll fell into the pool to when the administrator went into the water to search, at least fifteen minutes. From the comparison between the water volume of the pool and the volume of the sugar man Look, during this period of time, the doll has already dissolved, because the quality of the solute is far away from the water volume of the swimming pool, and the dissolution rate is faster, so it will not take long before it completely disappears in the pool." "It turned out to be like this... However, I still have doubts," Sakai said, "How did the will-o'-the-wisps come about? There is also a sugar doll that fell into the pool. If someone jumped into the pool immediately to search, the doll has not completely dissolved. Wouldn't that be the bottom line?" "And," Tuo Zhen continued to ask, "Chen Shanjun obviously jumped off the building, why didn't he fall into the swimming pool? And he was attacked by an invisible enemy in the room, what's going on?" "There are too many questions to be answered, please allow me to follow the order of my explanation. I will answer Mr. Tuo's question first. Chen Shanjun's behavior before diving was a cover-up. The fire in the room and the scene of being pushed down by a transparent person, this But it's all suspicious. Being attacked by an invisible monster and even fighting with it, the only reasonable explanation for this strange phenomenon is self-directed and self-acted; since it was self-directed and self-acted, it is believed that the subsequent disappearance was controlled by Chen Shanjun, It should be a very reasonable inference. The flow of events is like this: He set fire to the room first, then called witnesses, and when the witnesses arrived, he began to perform thrilling performances, struggling to fight with a spectator Fighting against invisible demons, but always at a disadvantage, it can deepen the impression of witnessing "the height of the road is one foot, and the height of the devil is one foot"." "But what happened to him being on fire?" Sakai asked, biting an unlit cigarette, "Chen Shanjun was halfway through the fight with the transparent man, when flames burst out of his hand." "The existence of the flame is very important, and it has three main functions. First, it creates the dramatic effect of the whole incident. Think about it, if the flame is missing from the whole scene, what the witnesses will see is Chen Shanjun rolling on the floor madly, and then Jumping off a building is like a mad dog; without the shock created by fire, it will be greatly reduced, and fire can increase the strange and supernatural effect. "Second, the blocking effect. If the witnesses rushed to suppress Chen Shanjun while he was acting in the room, the whole plan would not go on. If he couldn't break free from the witnesses' suppression and jump off the building, the disappearance scene would not be able to be staged. Therefore He deliberately placed the chairs and bed sheets in the middle of the room and connected them in a line, and then set fire along the line, thus forming a wall of fire that divided the room in two, making it impossible for witnesses to cross, thereby interfering with the plan. "Third, the role of cover-up. In order to prevent the falling sugar doll from being exposed by witnesses, the perpetrator chose to act in the early morning. This time is not only less crowded, but also has no lights. The doll that fell from the balcony is not easy to be identified. But just in case, he set the doll on fire, so that witnesses can only recognize a human form in the fire, so as to form a kind of cover-up and blur the boundary between real people and fake people. "As for how the flame on Chen Shanjun's arm appeared suddenly, it's actually nothing. Do you remember that the flame on his arm appeared after he was pushed to the ground by a transparent person and got up? In fact, after he fell to the ground, there was For a short time, it disappeared from the sight of the witnesses; the fire wall in the room played a role of shielding, covering the small movements of Chen Shanjun after he fell to the ground! Here again, the above-mentioned cover-up function appeared in the fire , This is all within the calculation of the criminal. After Chen Shanjun fell to the ground, after making sure that the witnesses could not see him, he immediately lit a fire on his own arm—probably with a lighter, and then stood up to create a sudden attack. The illusion of being burned by will-o'-the-wisps." "However," the camel guide said, "it was only lit with a lighter, at best it was just a small flame, and it was impossible to cover the arms as described by the witnesses!" "This is about to discuss the wine bottle in Chen Shanjun's luggage." "Wine bottle?" Sakai was speechless, "Could it be..." "Well, according to the police officer, there are two empty wine bottles left in Chen Shanjun's luggage bag, and so is Dong. This is definitely not a coincidence. Which strange phenomenon can the two empty wine bottles explain?" The camel tour guide shook his head, while Sakai was biting his cigarette, and then suddenly shouted: "I know, it's a will-o'-the-wisp!" "Yes, why is the flame blue? This is actually very simple. It is because of the burning of alcohol. The blue flames in this case all come from the fire produced by burning alcohol. The blue will-o'-the-wisp deepens the supernatural Sensation and drama." "The bottle was originally filled with vodka?" "To cause the burning effect in this case, the alcohol concentration must be very high; the alcohol concentration of the Polish vodka is as high as 90%, which meets the demand; or the bottle is actually filled with industrial or medicinal alcohol, it is possible Anyway, it has a high alcohol content. "After splashing alcohol, as long as there is a fire, it will burn quickly. After Chen Shanjun called the witnesses, he estimated that he would arrive soon, and then poured alcohol on his sleeve to prevent the alcohol from evaporating too quickly. His failure was to leave the alcohol behind. The bottle is in the room, I think he may not have a chance to go back to the room to dispose of the bottle. "Also, in Dong's incident, Michai's testimony mentioned that Dong was wearing long-sleeved clothing when he was engulfed in fire, but Qiu Shiling's notes did not specifically mention whether it was long-sleeved or short-sleeved when describing Chen Shanjun. It should be In order to avoid suspicion, it is not specified, but it must be long-sleeved clothing. "There are two reasons. One is protection. If the fireball to be burned on the body is too close to the head, there may be a risk of burns, and the long sleeves can be arranged to burn on the forearm, away from the head. He wore long-sleeved pajamas. They should have worn fireproof clothing to avoid burns. Chen Shanjun and the others must have undergone repeated experiments and adjustments before they dared to perform this trick. "As for the second role, we will talk about it later. "Next is the specific method of this entire disappearing trick; just now I just explained the basic principle of the trick, now I will explain the method of implementation. According to the facts, Chen Shanjun did jump from the tenth floor, so he replaced it with a sugar doll The time must have been after he jumped off, and the replacement location was on the balcony on the ninth floor. The reason why I am so sure will be explained later. "This puppet is placed next to the wall of the balcony on the ninth floor, and there may be some objects under its feet, so that the puppet is much higher than the wall, so that it can easily fall over the wall when it is slightly pulled forward. Then He took the rope that had been cut to an appropriate length and went back to the balcony on the tenth floor, tied one end to the protruding spherical stone sculpture on the balcony, and threw the other end down; then went to the balcony on the ninth floor, and looped the hanging rope around the doll feet, so that as soon as the rope is straightened, the doll will trip and fall forward. After passing around the doll’s feet, wrap the end tightly around the bottom of the spherical stone sculpture on the balcony. Finally, return to the ten On the balcony of the building, untie the rope that was originally fixed on the relief, and put it against the wall, trying not to draw attention to its existence. At this point, the first stage of the layout work is over. "When it was time to implement the plan in the early morning, Chen Shanjun first changed into fireproof clothes, then put on long-sleeved pajamas, then moved the chair in the room, placed it horizontally in the center of the room, pulled off a sheet, straightened it , let it line up with the chair, and divide the room into two. Then he began to pour alcohol in the room, and set fires everywhere. There is no need to create a big flame, as long as there are small scattered flames. Then he called Qiu Shiling, Lure the other party to the room. While waiting for Qiu Shiling, he spilled wine on the sleeves of both forearms and hid the lighter in a corner of the floor; the lighter might be put back into his pocket after use later. "As soon as Qiu Shiling appeared, Chen Shanjun began to direct and act on his own, performing a thrilling scene. He performed like this all the way until finally facing the door and standing on the wall of the balcony. When he climbed up the wall, he used the His right hand held one end of the rope that was originally placed on the balcony and hid behind him. Then he took a step back and fell vertically, holding the rope tightly with one hand, while the other hand slammed when he fell past the balcony on the ninth floor. Swipe forward and use the fire on the arm to ignite the sugar doll. This is also the reason why Chen Shanjun must wear long-sleeved pajamas as mentioned earlier. Because the sleeves are long, it is easier to ignite the fire, and it can be done with a wave of the hand The action of lighting the fire; if it is short-sleeved, he must put his shoulders and upper arms close to the puppet to light the fire. This action is almost impossible for a falling person. "A lot of alcohol has been splashed on the puppet, as long as it touches the flame, it will burn rapidly. All these actions are completed in an instant. After lighting the fire, instead of holding the rope tightly with both hands, Chen Shanjun continued to fall, and There was a scream! When he fell past the ninth floor, the doll fell forward because the rope around its feet was straightened, and it rolled over behind Chen Shanjun, falling head to foot. At the same time, pulling Chen Shanjun fell vertically on the rope to the balcony on the eighth floor. As long as he hooked his feet to the wall and jumped forward, he could land on the floor of the balcony, land safely, and immediately extinguish the flames on his arms. "After reaching the balcony, he immediately crossed the room, returned from the corridor to the balcony of the room on the ninth floor directly above, untied the knot, and retracted the rope..." "Wait a minute," Sakai interjected, "that's not reasonable. How is Chen Shanjun going to get into the room on the eighth floor? Of course, the balcony door may not be locked, but what if there are passengers inside? Also, you said he returned to the room on the ninth floor. It’s not right to take back the rope from the balcony on the second floor. He probably doesn’t have the key to that room. But you also infer that he placed the sugar doll on the balcony on the ninth floor first. It seems reasonable that he needs to be able to freely enter and exit the room on the ninth floor, right? .” "Chen Shanjun seems to be able to freely enter and exit Room 7 on the ninth floor. If you want to arrange sugar figures on the ninth floor, if you don't carry them through the door, it will be very difficult to carry them from the balcony, and it may damage the sugar figures. What's more, alcohol has to be splashed. Furthermore, it is impossible to place sugar figures on the balcony without being noticed by the tenants—if there are tenants inside. In fact, there are indeed tenants in Room 7 on the ninth floor, no matter what It was recorded in Qiu Shiling's notes or the data we checked at the police station, Sakai, do you remember who lived in that room?" "This..." Sakai's face suddenly became ugly, and the smoke from his lips fell like a corpse that fell from a building.The detective turned his head slowly to look at the man sitting next to him. "If I remember correctly, that person is a camel guide." "Generally speaking, the guest rooms are arranged by the hotel, but I think you probably manipulated it secretly when you went through the formalities at the counter, letting Chen Shanjun live in Room 7 on the tenth floor, and you live in the room directly below. Anyway, The accomplice said it is definitely not speculation," Ruoping said to Tuo Zhen, whose face turned pale, "There is a lot of evidence to show that you are Chen Shanjun's accomplice. The first point is the problem of access to the room I just mentioned. It is at No. 7 on the ninth floor. The balcony of the room is decorated with sugar figurines, otherwise it is impossible for you who live in the room to find out. When you look out of the French windows facing the balcony, you can see the whole balcony at a glance, and there is nothing to hide. Unless the two of you are accomplices, Otherwise, Chen Shanjun would not risk being discovered by you and arrange sugar figures on the balcony. Moreover, to arrange sugar figures, he must go through the room to the balcony. Unless he has a key, he cannot freely enter and exit; and the key is in your hand, so look at it like this Come, the relationship between you will be revealed." "I……" "I don't know how you got the key to Room 7 on the eighth floor, maybe you booked that room under another name, in short, you let Room 7 on the eighth, ninth, and tenth floors are all under your control. "In addition, in the disappearance trick played by Chen Shanjun, one very important point is how the sugar figure was transported to the hotel? I think it is impossible for Chen Shanjun to transport the sugar figure from Taiwan to Thailand, so someone must prepare it in Thailand. , now that we know that the camel guide is an accomplice, is there any chance or means for him to transport the sugar figure to the hotel? The answer is yes, of all the luggage that the camel guide carries, only one item can accommodate a nearly life-sized sugar figure , that is the cello case." "Can that kind of thing really be installed?" Sakai questioned. "If you have seen a real cello case, you will find that the volume is very large, maybe less than the size of an adult, but because of the slightly smaller size, the doll needs a stepping platform when it is placed on the balcony; anyway According to the role of sugar man, being a little smaller will not affect the plan." "Cube sugar should be regarded as brittle sugar, because the particles are fine," Sakai said, "I just wanted to ask, will the doll not break when it is moved around like this?" "I believe the violin case has been shockproofed to eliminate any possibility of the sugar figurine breaking apart. In fact, the sugar cubes are harder than you think, and the next time you buy a sugar cube, you can use your hands Feel the hardness. In terms of the application in this case, what the doll has to do is just stand still, as long as you are careful when moving, you don’t need to worry about the doll breaking.” "Understood, please continue." "After returning to the hotel, the camel tour guide took the sugar doll out of the piano box and put it on the balcony. Then, when the scheduled time was approaching, he poured alcohol on the doll. Here I would like to add that from this incident I guess three bottles of alcohol are needed, two bottles are used for flames in Chen Shanjun’s room and clothes, and the other bottle is used to pour a large amount of sugar dolls, so that the flames on the dolls can burn It was so fast. The bottle in Chen Shanjun's room had no chance to be taken back, and of course the third bottle was taken away by the camel tour guide. "The time difference between the sugar puppet being splashed with alcohol and being ignited must be as short as possible, because the alcohol evaporates very quickly. I think they should have done an experiment beforehand to find out the minimum time. According to my rough estimate, it should be more than five It would take a few minutes. Therefore, when the camel tour guide poured alcohol, Chen Shanjun must have arranged all the work in the room, and had called Qiu Shiling from the room to lure him to come as a witness. The camel tour guide hurried to the bar and pulled The bartender was chatting, his purpose was to find another person as a witness. When the two heard the screams by the pool, they looked up and saw the falling blue will-o'-the-wisp... "In order for the 'impossibility' of the disappearance to be established, in addition to the witnesses inside the room, there must also be witnesses outside the room; if there are no other witnesses who can prove that Chen Shanjun never climbed out of the swimming pool after falling into the water, then it is impossible The situation cannot be established, so the accomplice role of the camel guide here is to act as a witness. If there is only one witness, the convincing power may not be enough, so another one will be chosen. If this plan is carried out during the day or night, it is There is no need to worry too much about the lack of witnesses, because people are not asleep at that time, whether it is on the balcony of the building or by the poolside below, there may be people at any time. But the plan had to be carried out in the early morning, only at this time, almost no one There is no light, so the process of Chen Shanjun and the sugar man replacing in the air, as well as the pre-arranged sugar man, ropes and other items on the balcony, will minimize the possibility of being discovered and debunked." "Mr. Lin Ruoping," the camel tour guide said with a tense face, "I have to say, your imagination is really rich." Ruoping smiled and said, "Thank you, please allow me to continue. Your role as an accomplice, besides being a witness, also has a very important function. This function can answer the question that Sakai raised earlier." "Which question?" Sakai was at a loss. “你刚刚不是质疑，万一糖人落水后，池边目击者马上跳下去救人，糖人不就泄底了？” “对，我想起来了。” “为了预防这种情况，驼导游随时准备扮演跳水救人的角色。在东的事件那次，运气比较好，没有目击者要跳水救人；等到管理员姗姗来迟，驼导游估算时间，认定糖人已经溶解得差不多了，因此就放心让他下水搜寻。而在陈善骏的事件中，运气就没那么好了，因为有着东事件的前例，酒保与另一名目击者坚持要立刻下水查明真相，驼导游顺水推舟，自己先跳下去，表面上要下水搜索，实际上却是潜入水底，将糖人打散！” “原来如此！”阪井叫道，“这样人偶会溶解得比较快！” “是的，应该不用两分钟就可以将糖人四分五裂，就算管理员来得再快，也什么都找不到了。” “真是太狡猾了，不过却很聪明。”阪井说。 “我必须说，”驼导游紧绷的脸显然有些动摇，“你都在胡扯。你说的这个方糖诡计真的可行吗？听起来像天方夜谭。” “我知道很多人不相信。为了证实可行性，我亲自做了实验，”若平说，“阪井，你昨天前往曼谷后，我整个下午都在浴室中，把自己弄得像爱迪生似的。我买了方糖、烈酒、酒精、打火机，再利用浴缸的水做测试。虽然只是微缩实验，但相当成功，应该足以说明整套方法是可行的。更何况这诡计需要的体能技巧，陈善骏半点也没缺。” “我还是觉得你在臆测。”驼震喃喃道。 “是吗？好吧，等我全部说完再做评断未迟。听着，有一点显示了你即使并非共犯，也一定跟真正的主谋者有关。我们已经知道，沈昭鹏是因为拍摄到消失诡计的关键照片，因而被灭口，那凶手是在何时得知有这么一张照片的存在呢？如果是在旅行团仍在泰国的时候得知，那凶手会在沈昭鹏未返回前就下手，不会拖到一个月后还大费周折到中国台湾去杀人；而从凶手在沈昭鹏拍到关键事实一个月后才下手的情况看来，他显然是后来才得知有那张照片的存在。他是如何得知的呢？答案相当明显，是来自沈昭鹏在留言板的预告。” “你是指，那篇宣布在泰国遇上奇怪事件的留言吗？”阪井说。 “没错，那篇留言写得相当明显，说明了沈昭鹏在泰国遇上了灵异事件，而且拍到一张绝无仅有的照片！但是凶手如何有机会得知这个网站的网址呢？根据我们有的数据显示，沈昭鹏的合伙人苏恺云曾提过，沈昭鹏在泰国行中只给了驼导游该网站的网址，因此除非透过驼导游，否则陈善骏不可能知道网站要公布照片的事，这么一来，驼导游与陈善骏之间的关系，就相当值得怀疑了。有可能是驼导游在网站上发现了留言，再告诉陈善骏的。这对犯罪者来说可是个极大的威胁。他不明白沈昭鹏知道多少，但网站每张照片均有附上照片来龙去脉的说明，如果沈昭鹏将这张照片公布，那他苦心营造的诡计就有可能被看穿。甚至，沈昭鹏如果看穿真相，或许还会在网站上直接'解谜'。就是因为看到这则留言，才让他一颗心七上八下，不惜再搭飞机来到中国台湾，下手杀人、夺底片。” “可是若平，”阪井插嘴，“在沈昭鹏遇害的前几天，并没有陈善骏飞到中国台湾的记录，就算他持用假护照，但警方查过旅客名单，没有发现任何可疑的游客。况且他在泳池事件刚结束后，还敢大摇大摆地公开露面，甚至搭上航班再返回中国台湾，这未免也太冒险了。” “陈善骏他当然没有那么笨，他一直留在泰国。” “但是这样，他就无法杀害沈昭鹏了啊。” “他没有杀沈昭鹏。”阪井瞪大双眼，“你说什么？” “既然确定杀人动机与掩盖秘密有关，而知道秘密的只有陈善骏与其共犯，排除陈善骏入境中国台湾的可能性，那当然就不是他干的了。现场的底片被取走，证明凶手亲临现场，如果是这样的话，也不可能使用什么远距离遥控杀人，既然如此，能动手的人，当然就是陈善骏的共犯。简单的逻辑。” 驼震紧绷的脸色在此到达极限，他喘着气，两眼逃避着若平与阪井的视线，在空气中迷离地晃动。 若平静静地凝视着戴着金边眼镜的驼导游，继续他严厉无情的指控：“有另一点可以印证，犯罪者至少有两名。还记得我刚刚说的有关我在猴子岛遇险的事吗？我被一名黑衣人绑架到岛上，接着黑衣人离去，而几乎在同一时间，阪井也在酒店遇到黑衣人的袭击。原本我以为，这名黑衣人将我弃于岛上后，再回到酒店袭击阪井，可是事实却不是如此。我在凌晨两点到达海滩，开游艇从海边到达猴子岛约要十五分钟的时间，估计起来，扣除掉行船以及布置的时间，凶手把我弃于猴子岛离开的时刻，应该是两点半左右；而阪井在两点将近五十分左右遇袭，时间计算起来并没有错误。但我后来想起，我在那天稍早的时候，手机曾摔落地板因而死机，我对照酒店房间内的电子钟调整时间，而凌晨前往海滩前，所依据的时间也是手机上的。 “问题是，房内的电子钟慢了整整十五分钟！也就是说，当我到达海滩时，已经是两点十五分了，难怪跟我会面的黑衣人斥责我迟到，我却还以为自己早到而不以为意。如果我过了十五分才到，那黑衣人是不可能在两点五十分返回酒店袭击阪井的。也就是说，袭击阪井的是另一个人，犯罪者有两人。我们可以毫无疑虑地断定，这两人就是这次案件的主导者，目的在灭口，他们怕我已经知道真相，并且也告诉阪井了。我那时在游艇上看见的人，应该就是另一名共犯，我在被药迷昏之后，那名共犯立刻前往酒店行刺，另一名则将我载到猴子岛。” “可是，”阪井说，“为什么还要大费周折地将你弃于岛上？虽然被丢在那里有危险，却不一定会死。凶手为什么不趁你昏迷时杀了你，再丢进海中呢？” “这点我也想了很久，后来找到了理由。我想绑架我的那个人应该就是陈善骏，他虽是主谋者，却没有杀人的胆，只有策划与幻想的脑袋……他其实是一名怯懦又自卑的人！在这个案件中，负责杀人的是他的共犯，那名共犯才是真正心智上可怕的人物，他不但敢袭击一名训练有素的侦探，而且毫不迟疑地进行跨地杀人，这不是一般胆小之人做得到的。”若平仍盯视着驼震，后者默默无语，身子微微地颤抖，凝视桌面。 “我没有证据，”若平说，“你可以极力否认，但我不认为这对你有好处。” 驼导游嘴唇嚅动了几下，最后似乎是下了痛苦的决定，他说：“我想先听你解说完整个案件，再做答复。你还有什么没说的？” “好，那请你仔细听。陈善骏的消失事件，与东的消失事件是紧扣在一起的。两个案件如出一辙。那么，这件东的消失事件的发生，有什么理由呢？ “第一，是消失诡计的演练。要完成这件泳池消失的过程十分繁杂，技术上也有一定的困难，虽然说陈善骏本身曾受过体操训练，整体的操作上也难保一次就能成功，因此必须在计划进行的地点先来一次演练。我不清楚他们跟东之间发生了什么事，总之他们取得了东的身份证件与行李，事件当天的日期是特地计算好的，驼导游带旅行团到酒店，并利用空当扮成东进行住宿登记，由于驼导游是酒店的常客，为了避免被认出，还特地戴上墨镜、帽子；因为必须说出流利的泰语，因此这假扮工作不能由陈善骏来担当。接着，驼导游在自己房间刻意纵火，再叫来酒店人员，这项前作业是为后头的戏码铺路，增加神秘性与一种警告性质的预告性。等到凌晨时间一到，驼导游卸下装扮，到酒吧去，等着当事件的目击者。而十楼七号房内改成由陈善骏接手，他或许根据东的面容做了适度的易容，这点我并不能确定，但事实证明米猜后来见到陈善骏时，并没有认出他来。后续的表演工作都是由陈善骏接手了。他跳楼前对米猜说的'别过来'以及打电话到柜台说有人要杀他的那几句话，应该是驼导游特别花时间教他的吧！我想他会的泰文不多。之后的情况与第二件消失事件相同，我就不再赘述。 “第二，减少酒店的人潮。在第一案中，为了避免消失把戏被过多的目击者所拆穿，有必要让第二案中酒店的人潮减少。如果目击者太多，那空中的人偶替换过程就很有可能被眼尖的人看穿；而阳台上事先布置的假人也有可能被人无意间目击。在第一案当中，最关键的十楼七号房两旁房间全部被预订，就是为了避免在凌晨有房客到阳台上，过于近距离接近现场。 “果不其然，第一次消失事件的成功，对酒店造成了重大打击，由于媒体的大肆报道，旅客对于'吃人泳池'产生恐惧，影响了酒店营运，游客骤减，甚至七号房附近完全无人住宿，所以第二次的消失事件根本不用再用事先预订的方法来避免目击者接近现场阳台。 “驼导游因为共犯的关系，必须住于九楼七号房，如果导游与他带领的旅客住宿房间离得太远会显得相当奇怪，但又不能让团员住在七号房周边，因此他将团员全部安排于九楼北侧的房间。因为要进行诡计的阳台是面向南侧，因此住在九楼北侧是不可能看到南侧阳台所发生的任何事的。唯一出的差错是，沈昭鹏与其女友原本被安排的房间因为卫浴设备坏了，临时换去对面的大楼；但这件事刚好是领队小姐负责办理的，驼导游大概觉得如果强行要他们再更换房间，会显得相当不自然，因此他只能祈祷沈昭鹏他们能早早上床，什么都没看到。” “原来如此，”阪井点点头，“这么一来，两件消失事件的原貌都清楚了，不过，那一张灵异照片又是怎么回事？这点你还没解明！” “的确，这张诡异的照片，恐怕是整个案件中最令人百思不得其解之处；但拨开迷雾之后，你会发现真相简单得可笑。”他伸手去取放在桌上的资料袋，抽出那张问题照片。 若平指着照片，说：“先前我们认为是这名鬼火怪物将陈善骏推下楼，从照片上看来也的确是如此。这蓝色人影站在阳台上，露出上半身，表情空洞，下边是坠落的陈善骏，他与蓝色人影的方位正好是面对面，一上一下。由于根据目击者证词，当时是陈善骏自己从阳台坠楼的，并没有人推他，因此我们将照片解释成是相机捕捉到了眼睛看不见的透明人。在科学尚未证明鬼怪存在的现今，这显然令人无法置信。事实上，这张照片是有疑点存在的。驼先生，你记得沈昭鹏住几楼吗？” “九楼。”驼震静静地说。 “也就是说，这张照片应该是沈昭鹏在对面九楼的阳台拍的了。根据我们对这张照片的理解，蓝色人影应该是站在十楼阳台，而陈善骏正落到九楼阳台前。这是我们对这张照片的解读。 “我们都知道，阳台的围墙上有两座圆柱形的大理石石雕，但是你们仔细看一下这张照片，蓝色人影前方的围墙，却只有一座圆柱石雕。” “难道……”阪井露出恍然大悟的表情。 “嗯，蓝色人影站立的阳台，不是十楼七号房的阳台，事实上是出现在九楼阳台的，我检查过，那里的圆柱的确断了一根；照片中陈善骏正落到八楼阳台前；那个蓝色怪物，正是犯罪者事先布置的白色糖人，这张照片捕捉到的，是着火的人偶被绳索拉倒的前一刻。因为光圈与快门的关系，以及拍摄方向与位置，陈善骏手中那条绳索刚好位于死角，与建筑物融为一体，再加上画面本身略微扭曲模糊，更难辨清。这张照片事实上捕捉到了事实，也展露了消失事件的真相！谜底从照片被发现的同时，就已经摆在我们眼前，我们却都因为先入为主的误解，将事件做了错误的联结，而这个联结倒也还颇能符合人们的想象，也让这位糖人先生出尽了风头。” “可不是嘛，”阪井苦笑，“这样的误解真是无可奈何，也不能责难任何人，毕竟，谁想得到真相竟是这样！” “我在九楼阳台找到了几粒方糖粉末，应该是绳索摩擦糖人之时所掉落的，这点可作为糖人是位于九楼阳台的佐证……有一句名言叫做'眼睛所见并非真实'，但我却认为眼睛所见再真实不过了，就像照相机呈现的是最真实的画面，重点却在于，人的思想要将所见的'符号'诠释成什么样的意义，这才是最关键之处。” 至此，沉默暂时统领了周遭的空气，没有人再开口说话。 手托着腮的阪井放开麻木的胳膊，又掏了一支烟塞进嘴巴中；这种怪异习惯的由来，连若平都不甚清楚；他继续提出疑问：“那么，关于陈善骏与邱诗陵两人是怎么回事？为什么你之前会说他们在泰国是同一个人？但根据你先前的推论，显然邱诗陵在消失事件一案并没有说谎或者担当共犯，这究竟怎么解释？” “其实我说他们两人在泰国是同一人的意思是，当我与你来到泰国调查后所遇见的邱诗陵其实是陈善骏假扮的。基于某些理由，我发现与我们会面的邱诗陵并非是真正的邱诗陵，这并不表示邱诗陵这个人从头到尾都是陈善骏一人饰二角，他们两人各自是独立的个体，绝对没有疑问。陈善骏到泰国旅游，他与邱诗陵两人同时出现过数次；出入境护照的检验也都没问题，邱诗陵这个人是确实存在的。但我发现了一些矛盾，足以证明与我们会面的人不同于手记里所描述的邱诗陵。 “第一，烟瘾。在札记中的邱诗陵是不抽烟的；札记中第三章提到沈昭鹏与邱诗陵在酒店大厅与驼导游会面，要求驼导游讲述前一个月所发生的泳池事件；驼导游犹豫再三终于打算说明，而说明前他掏出烟递给沈昭鹏与邱诗陵，但两人都拒绝了，邱诗陵甚至说'烟这种毒物我是不会碰的'。但我们前天与他在餐厅碰面时，他却拿出烟大抽特抽，摆明了是个烟枪。 “第二，眼皮。在札记中的第二章，邱诗陵在描述陈善骏时，说了'有着单眼皮的眼睛流露出忧思与敏锐交织而成的光流，不像朋友老笑我的双眼皮增加了脸上的无精打采，这点来说他犹胜于我'。照这描述看来，邱诗陵应该是双眼皮才对，但当我们与他在餐厅会面时，我却明显注意到他是单眼皮。 “第三，饮食习惯。在札记第二章中，邱诗陵描述他最忌讳吃辣的食物，因此对于泰国菜敬而远之，并庆幸旅行社没有安排享用泰国菜的行程；但我们与邱诗陵见面时，他竟然点了'柠檬虾汤'、'酸辣生虾'这两道辣得不行的料理，而且吃得津津有味，这跟札记中的描述判若两人。 “因为这三个重点，让我明白至少与我们在餐厅见面的这个人，并不是真正的邱诗陵。在此要谈到我与阪井在侦查上的一个盲点，就是我们在来泰国前都没有亲身见过所有的案件关系人，也没有听过他们的声音，只看过简单的几张档案照片；这使得在我们面前乔装一事变得相当容易。刚好邱诗陵的长相很容易伪装，他不但蓄有络腮胡，还留着一头长发——似乎是许多画家的典型造型，假发、假胡子都是易容的基本道具。 “现在问题来了，陈善骏是如何得知我们要与邱诗陵访谈，进而打扮伪装来瞒骗我们呢？当时我们联络邱诗陵的方式，是依据他留在《Travel》杂志的e-mail，写了一封信给他，而他也回了信，并约定好见面的时间地点；如此一来，产生了两种可能，一种是当初投稿杂志的人就是陈善骏，一种是邱诗陵收到信之后告知陈善骏，陈善骏再假扮成邱诗陵来赴约。我不考虑第二种可能性的理由是，这种可能性承认了邱诗陵与陈善骏是共犯关系，既然是共犯关系，邱诗陵大可前来与我们赴约，不需要由陈善骏来假扮；就算他无法前来，也可以用其他方式联络，派一个假扮的人来反而有露出破绽的可能。 “另外，我先前也证明过，在陈善骏消失事件中，邱诗陵若是共犯，是不会说出不一致的证词的。如此一来，如果这件事邱先生不牵扯在其中的话，那刊在杂志上的旅游札记，恐怕就是陈善骏写的了。 “札记如果是陈善骏写的，那是为了什么呢？这里我们必须来检讨一下整个案件背后的动机。这起消失事件最终的结果，便是陈善骏从人间蒸发，消失无踪。而从凶手塑造的情况看来，显然希望这件事以灵异事件作结，也就是将幕后黑手推给鬼怪来承担，让人无法再追究。 “将这段札记提交给警方的是陈善骏的女友，我认为这份札记基本上是要写给她看的，目的在于强化陈善骏是因为灵异事件而失踪的事实，换句话说，给了陈善骏的消失一个理由，而且这个理由是难以再追究的。陈善骏应该是为了摆脱她的女友，才策划出这整件事，至于为何地点要选在泰国……”若平看了驼导游一眼，“我不清楚你们之间有什么样的关系，这恐怕要由你来说明了。” 驼导游带着痛苦神色摇摇头，说：“不，你还没说清楚，有关陈善骏房间神秘起火燃烧的事件，还有尸体消失究竟是怎么回事，我要你作个总结。” “好吧。我把最后这部分说清楚。既然札记是陈善骏写的，而他的目的在于强化灵异印象，那么虚构一些情节在札记中便不是什么难事。 “首先呢，陈善骏必须挑选一位主角来作为记述者，这个人当然不能是他自己，因为他最后必须消失，不可能还记录下整件事拿去投稿；但是由他来执笔却是再适当不过，于是他借用了旅行团中的人物来当做他自己，借由别人来说出他想传达的事。他挑中了独自一人的旅行画家邱诗陵。基本上札记所要描述的事，是必须能够被证实的，包括对于邱诗陵的描述。因为他必须考虑到这份札记有可能落入警方手中，而警方会将札记拿给旅行团员，求证内容的真实性。所以他意欲虚构的部分，必须是无法被他人证实的。 “好比说在札记中第二章，邱诗陵与陈善骏谈论'鬼妻'这段，没有人能够证实谈话的内容是否如同札记所描述一般，因为对话的只有这两人；只要之后找不到邱诗陵，便没人可以证明。因此陈善骏在札记中对于主角行动的描述，必须非常模糊；在可以被其他人证实的情况下，他不能写出太过离谱的描述，否则会穿帮。例如，他不能写出在众人吃饭的场合，邱诗陵高声谈论了许多关于鬼怪的言论——除非事实上他真的有说了这些话——否则只要与其他团员一对质，这项不实的描述便会被拆穿。所以他才会挑上只身一人的画家，因为单独一人，常常处于无法被证实的情况，陈善骏也比较好虚构他的行动与言谈。这样解释是否能了解？” “可以了解，”阪井说，“但是只要找到邱诗陵，那这份札记还是会被否认掉啊！” “邱诗陵是个旅行画家，我想陈善骏应该是确认了他在结束泰国之旅后，立刻要前往其他国家旅行，之后难以找到他的人，才会决定选用这个角色来当主角的。如果没有邱诗陵这样一号人物出现，我想陈善骏还是有其他方法来实行此项计划的。只是他大概太得意忘形了，与我们见面时竟然忘了维持邱诗陵的特征，因而露陷。 “如此一来，便很容易了解先前五大谜团之一——陈善骏房间起火消失事件的本质了，这完全是为了加强灵异效果所虚构出的戏剧性情节。” 阪井摇摇头，“关于虚构这段的用意是可以理解，但是能够否认发生过这件事的还有沈昭鹏。难道陈善骏写这段的时候已经决定要杀沈昭鹏了？” “关于这点，我将事件做成流程表，比较一目了然。看看这张纸。” 若平递出一张酒店房间提供的便条纸，上头写着： “要附带说明的是有关身份变换的问题，相当有趣。陈善骏等于是一人饰三角，同时扮演他原本的身份、邱诗陵以及东；而东这个角色，则是被两人分饰一角。前往旅馆订房的东是由驼导游扮演，因为他会说泰语；而跳楼的东则是陈善骏扮演，因为他有熟练的肢体动作。一人饰多角与多人饰一角的元素同时出现在同一个案子可谓不多见，这是我认为本案特殊的地方。 “大体上就是这样了，”若平作结道，“后续的事，就不用再多说了吧。剩下的谜团就是动机了，陈