Chapter 5 1. Housing prices "inflated"

Blow up, read cooking (ceu, Yin Qusheng) account (zeng, Yin Qusheng).It means really maddening.Example: "The noodles in the bowl are turned upside down, and I ask you whether you are blowing up?" (An ungrateful villain, may I ask if you were mad at it?) People are always angry, and people from other provinces are "pissed off" when they speak, while Guangdong It's better to be "inflated" than to be "death", but "inflated" itself is also very unsatisfactory.For example, the speed of house price rises is also comparable to the speed of building construction in Guangdong. House prices have risen outrageously, and people have been "inflated", but there is nowhere to vent - if they can't afford it, even renting has become a problem.

In 2006, a Shenzhen netizen adapted the song "House Price Song" based on Phoenix Legend, and sang the aspirations of countless Shenzhen house buyers: I am watching from a distance, how many house prices are rising freely above the broader market. I forgot yesterday, the house is dry, I want to meet you again on the road without a house. Housing prices have been driven, quality has fallen and prices have risen, and the days when there are houses are far away in heaven.Vomit, vomit, vomit. Who is calling, how long the market is, and the desire to make money is floating like white clouds.

The meat was cut in the east, and the wolves were fed in the west. Stacks of banknotes were sent to the bank. In the vicissitudes of housing prices, where is the house? Discuss with the government: Let housing prices drop. As we all know, Shenzhen is a typical immigrant city. Thirty years ago, the aborigines in Shenzhen were only farmers. However, as of May 2010, the total population of Shenzhen had reached 14.5 million, of which 2.46 million were registered residents.At the same time, the American "Forbes" magazine also announced the list of the most densely populated cities in the world. Shenzhen ranks fifth in the world with a population density of 17,150 people per square kilometer, and has become the veritable "most crowded" city in China.Compared with Shanghai's 13,400 people/square kilometer and Beijing's 11,500 people/square kilometer, the population density is much higher.

In this city created by immigrants, "home ownership" is an unattainable luxury for the immigrant population. In addition to facing the rocket-like growth rate of house prices, the average price of new houses in Shenzhen according to SouFun.com is NO. .1, there is also a series of hidden housing competitions such as the aborigines in Shenzhen enjoying the "luxury houses" in the CBD, Hong Kong people investing in real estate in Shenzhen, and returnees enjoying government housing preferential treatment. Similarly, the housing situation of migrant workers in Guangzhou is also very worrying. There are ant tribes in Tangjialing in Beijing, and there are fresh workers in Shibei Village in Guangzhou.These migrant workers in Shenguang are just like the American journalist Lippmann once described: "All of us are immigrants in the industrial world, and there is no authority to rely on. We are people who have left their homes. Nouveau riche. We, as a people, have all the vulgar features about us, and are mentally broken. The modern man has no firm footing in his world. The world is big... We blow in the wind like rubbish in the wind."

In July 2010, a report by Wang Feng, deputy director of Shenzhen Real Estate Research Center and a well-known real estate scholar, made people startled. The report pointed out that the housing conditions of the registered population, which accounted for 26% of the permanent population in Shenzhen, were very good. The per capita residential floor area of ​​residents has reached 388 square meters, and the housing ownership rate is as high as 99%. However, the living conditions of the non-registered permanent population accounting for 74% of the city's permanent population and the nearly 4 million non-registered floating population not included in the statistics are extremely poor. The per capita housing construction area is only 10 square meters and 6 square meters.Compared with the original residents, this is nearly 40 times and 60 times different!At present, Shenzhen has a total of 404 million square meters of housing, and private houses in urban villages alone account for about 42% of the total, reaching 170 million square meters.

These "urban farmers" with urban resident ID cards, followed the influx of gold diggers from the mainland in the 1990s, and "built houses around the fields" one after another.From then on, it's a huge profit. Located in the core CBD of Shenzhen, the Gangxia Village area covers an area of ​​about 150,000 square meters, of which 409 households have built 580 buildings, almost all of which are used for rent collection.At that time, a farmer named Wen Fugui followed the trend and built a two-story building on top of three tile-roofed houses in his house. The three rooms on the second floor were specially used for rent.Later, the houses in the village were built higher and higher, and Wen Fugui's original two-story building became a seven-story building.The building is square around, like a bunker.Except for a staircase, all spaces are divided into individual rooms.There are 45 rooms in the entire building, and the monthly rent for each room ranges from 800 to 1,200 yuan. Wen Fugui collects about 50,000 yuan a month for sitting on the ground.

In 2008, the Futian District Government of Shenzhen began to demolish Gangxia Village, and these former "charter owners" and "charter women" now have a new identity—billionaires.According to the demolition compensation standard given by the government - 12,800 yuan per square meter for residential apartments, 23,800 yuan per square meter for commercial properties, and 1,400 square meters of 200 square meters per floor for Wen Fugui's 7-story building, the compensation amount Nearly 20 million.In fact, this amount of compensation can only rank in the middle of the more than 400 aboriginal households in Gangxia.For the "famous families" in the village, the compensation is even close to 100 million yuan.A piece of old buildings fell down, and a group of rich people stood up.

"The per capita housing area of ​​non-residents of Shenzhen households and original residents of Shenzhen is nearly 40 times different. This is simply a heaven and an underground. This phenomenon reflects the lack of fairness in the housing system and the uneven distribution of wealth and housing. , exposing the disadvantages of China’s household registration system and local protectionism. It is conceivable that the housing conditions of the non-resident population are difficult to improve when the system or rules are unfair.” Xie Yifeng, a famous real estate marketing planning expert, interprets this phenomenon in this way .

Thanks to the "near water" and the future development path of Shenzhen and Hong Kong, Hong Kong people have always preferred to buy properties in Shenzhen.According to real estate international statistics, from January to May 2009, Hong Kong people purchased about 5,000 properties in Shenzhen. With the income level of Hong Kong people, it is not difficult to buy property in Shenzhen.Their purpose of buying property in Shenzhen is nothing more than: investment, rental, and backup.According to a Hong Kong China News Agency report on January 21, 2010, "A recent survey in Hong Kong shows that the proportion of Hong Kong people buying properties in Shenzhen for rental investment last year reached 30%, a record high."Thirty years ago, Hong Kong people were called "water fish" (also known as soft-shelled turtles and bastards) by Shenzhen businessmen. Seeing Hong Kong people was like seeing money.But now, everything is reversed. Now Hong Kong people see Shenzhen people as if they see "water fish" and see money.Therefore, the enthusiasm of Hong Kong people to invest and buy houses in Shenzhen has been increasing year by year. Li Xiaoping, vice president of the Shenzhen Chamber of Commerce, said: "Since 2000, Hong Kong people have increased by more than 10% every year. The supply ratio of commercial housing in Shenzhen is 15%-20%, and housing purchases are gradually moving from low-end to high-end.”

Just like Mr. Luo, a Hong Kong businessman engaged in foreign trade, he bought more than ten small apartments at one time in a certain community in Futian, Shenzhen.He said, "When I bought a 40-square-meter single apartment, the total price of each unit was less than 400,000 yuan. Even if ten units cost 4 million yuan, the price is only enough to buy a house in Hong Kong Island." Now , These bachelor apartments are bringing him tens of thousands of yuan in rental income every month. "If they are sold, the prices will almost double." In addition to the inherent advantages of Shenzhen aborigines and Hong Kong people in the Shenzhen real estate market, the government, which aims to improve Shenzhen's competitiveness, is also more willing to take care of returnees in housing.

Just like what Uncle Li Li said: "In the 21st century, what is the most important thing? Talent!" However, "The situation in which talents flew southeast in the past has changed. Faced with the competition from inland cities, Shenzhen's attraction to talents has relatively weakened. Among them, the sharp increase in living costs due to high housing prices and other issues has become the main reason why Shenzhen's attractiveness to high-end talents continues to decline. Dr. Zeng Fan (pseudonym), who had lived in the United States for nearly 10 years, chose to return to China for development in 2008. With her savings in the United States, in September 2009, she bought a commercial house in Shenzhen that she was not satisfied with. The price was 16,500 yuan. / square meter, without residential area.Zeng Fan said that this was something she did not expect in the United States. In Orlando, Florida, the price of a small western-style house with a swimming pool and garden is around US$300,000.However, in Shenzhen, 2 million yuan can only buy a house of more than 100 square meters. Compared with domestic income, the monthly payment burden is very heavy. In order to dispel the worries of high-level returnees like Zeng Fan, the Shenzhen government purchased a batch of "affordable housing" from the "Shoudi Rongyu" luxury residential area with an average price of more than 30,000 yuan per square meter, and provided 348 of them to "returnees" "Senior talent. Obviously, this implies a major premise: "sea turtles" are better than "turtles".This approach is equivalent to using the government's visible hand to reduce the competition cost of "returnees", making local talents already at a disadvantage before they start to compete, which is equivalent to repelling them. If you are neither an aborigine nor a Hong Kong person or a returnee, even if you can barely be called a "white collar" or "middle class", buying or renting a house in Shenzhen and Guangzhou is "a big mountain" in life. In 2007, Wu Fang, who worked in a newspaper office in Shenzhen, was planning to marry her boyfriend.At that time, they looked around the house, hoping to solve this major problem before getting married.It happened that there was a real estate fair in Shenzhen at that time, so they ran away excitedly.At the Housing Fair, she got a map of the exhibition and browsed through it roughly. Wu Fang found that only one of the exhibitors was located in the second-tier pass in Shenzhen.Others are either outside the customs, such as Longgang and Buji, or they are in the "one-hour living circle" advertised by real estate developers, such as Dongguan, Huizhou, Zhuhai, Zhongshan, etc. These houses are indeed much cheaper than those in Shenzhen. For example, a large real estate in Huizhou, with mountains and rivers, is said to have an opening price of only 6,000 yuan per square meter. "It's better to buy a villa in Huizhou than to buy an apartment in Shenzhen with more than 10,000 yuan!" Wu Fang's boyfriend said. "Okay, run over on Saturday, clean up, and come back on Sunday!" Wu Fang retorted.Saying this, Wu Fang was also thinking: "Are we really going to live in Huizhou?" Every day I bumped on the road for more than an hour, and the round trip took 3 hours. It was already dark when I got home, and I couldn't see any mountains and rivers. Now, in case there is a traffic jam again... Wu Fang feels dizzy thinking about it. Wu Fang, who has been renting a house in Shenzhen for nearly six years, has always kept the drive from her place of residence to her workplace within 30 minutes.She calculated the following: to live in Huizhou, she would spend an extra 2.5 hours on the road every day. Based on 20 working days in a month, it would add 50 hours a month and 600 hours a year, equivalent to 25 days.In other words, almost one month is lost every year, and a full year has been lost in 12 years! Or based in Shenzhen it!Wu Fang and her boyfriend rushed to the area they had negotiated before, only to find that the house price had risen again!The South District of the Science and Technology Park is 16,000-18,000; even in the Xili area, which is relatively far from the city center, a small real estate project of an unknown developer has no environmental or location advantages, and the opening price is said to be above 10,000. Go outside the pass to see that the second phase of a real estate in the central area of ​​Bao'an is on sale.The spacious and beautiful community gardens, the model houses decorated in French style, and the entry gardens of more than ten square meters in each suite are "teasing" Wu Fang everywhere. After reading it, Wu Fang was both happy and worried.The good news is that Wu Fang's boyfriend bought the first phase of the same real estate in 2005. The unit price at that time was 7,000 yuan. Now the listing price of the intermediary is already 12,000 yuan.For the second phase of the new sale, the lowest unit price is 13,000, and the highest is 20,000.On the opening day of the second phase, 80% of them have been sold.What is worrying is that if Bao'an is so expensive, what will happen to the buildings in the pass? The third phase of Vanke's "Fifth Park" opened a few days ago, Wu Fang and the others also went to see it, and the scene was crowded with people.Wu Fang met a former colleague at the gate of the community. He bought the first phase, which was 13,000 at that time, and the third phase, which opened a year later, opened for 26,000. The lowest total price of a single set is more than 5 million "courtyard villas". Already sold 70%.Wu Fang and her boyfriend sighed: "There are so many rich people in Shenzhen!" However, Wu Fang's income is not low!Wu Fang's annual salary is nearly 100,000, and she is a white-collar worker. Her boyfriend who is a trader already has millions in savings.For them, buying a house is still a difficult task. For those working-class couples, when faced with the houses in Shenzhen that cost millions of dollars, when will they realize their dream of living in peace? Regarding buying a house, Wu Fang’s friends have different opinions: Some people say that the stock market is booming now, and people are mortgaged their houses to speculate in stocks. What house to buy, let’s rent it first! Some people say, if you don’t buy it now, it will still go up if you wait! Some people say that the rent-to-sales ratio (the ratio of monthly rent to house price) of housing prices has reached 350 or even 400, which is far higher than the international average of 200, indicating that housing prices have been far away from actual housing demand. Rent a good deal. Some people say that after the 2008 Olympic Games, house prices will definitely drop, so buy it later! Wu Fang and her boyfriend were very confused.A real estate agent said to them: "Even economists can't figure out how China's housing prices will go in the future." Later Wu Fang said online, "I often think, I just want to buy a house and live with my dear ones. , just live there all the time, living a simple life, regardless of whether the housing price is rising or falling. But why is such a requirement so difficult to meet?" purchase?Or not to buy?In May 2007, this was a problem for many who, like Wu Fang, were looking forward to a future life. It is already 2010, what new stories are there for those who have "lived and worked in peace and contentment" in the past three years? Xiao Yao and her husband are a family combination of "doctor + master", with a total annual salary of 200,000.The two have been married for 3 years and have only worked for 3 years. They plan to buy a two-bedroom house with little savings: the total price is 700,000 yuan, and the monthly payment is about 3,000 yuan. "Basically, I looked at the house with anticipation and went home with disappointment. If the house price in April is not too high, then the current house price is simply outrageous. We are planning to have a child, 100% rigid demand, but Now I am determined not to buy a house." Xiao Yao said, using six words to describe the whole process of viewing the house—surprise straight down to disappointment. Xiaoyao and her husband work at two ends of Shenzhen, one in Longgang and the other in Baoan.The two discussed countless times about where to buy the house, and finally decided to buy it in the central area of ​​Bao'an. "Because it is a transitional house, I want to change it, and the central area of ​​Bao'an has more room for appreciation. At that time, I thought Longgang was too dilapidated and didn't have much potential, but now I can afford a house in Longgang," Xiao Yao said. After confirming the area to buy a house, the two began to look at the house sporadically. "At that time, the second-hand house transaction was sluggish, but the price was not cheap. We could at most join in the fun. A set of two houses cost about 800,000 yuan at the time, which felt a bit expensive. The intermediary Very enthusiastic, calling every day." Xiao Yao said. In Xiao Yao's impression, one house recommended by the intermediary was cheaper than the other house, which started in June 2008.The Fortis Haowangjiao two rooms she is concerned about had a set price of only 7,800 yuan per square meter in August. "At that time, I was disappointed. If I calculate it this way, I bought a 90-square-meter small three-bedroom house for about 700,000 yuan. But all my friends around me advised me not to buy it. At that time, the house price kept falling, and no one around me sold it. Buying a house, even though the house price has actually reached expectations.” Xiao Yao said.That suite sold within a week.But later the intermediary also continued to recommend some houses with good prices, basically around 8,000 yuan per square meter. "The housing price was the most exciting at that time, and the attitude of the agent and the owner was very good, but unfortunately we missed it." Xiao Yao said. After returning to their hometown during the Spring Festival, the elders on both sides began to talk about buying a house. The two also planned to have a child this year, so they had to look back at the house again.But the real estate market at this time is not what it used to be. "After the Spring Festival, the house we rented was going to be sold. The 72 square meters were listed for 710,000 yuan. Later, a buyer offered 700,000 yuan, but the owner did not sell it. One week later, the owner listed it for 780,000 yuan, and the next week it was listed for 800,000 yuan. We were terrified when we saw it. What happened to the market?" Xiao Yao said.Later, she inspected the house in person and verified this point. In 2008, the two-bedroom house priced at 8,000 yuan/square meter rose rapidly to 11,000 yuan/square meter in one year, and the original budget was completely insufficient. "We had no choice but to move to Xixiang, and even reconsider the excluded Longgang District." Xiao Yao seemed helpless. This is not just the experience of Wu Fang and Xiaotao. For most white-collar workers in Shenzhen and Guangzhou, they generally feel that "income does not rise, housing prices do not fall, and rents have skyrocketed." In 2010, it has been more than two months since the New Mortgage Policy was promulgated, and the expected drop in housing prices has not come. Instead, the rental market has been undercurrents recently, and rents have risen rapidly. Xiao Sai, a female white-collar worker living in Gangxia, was hit by a wave of rent increases. One day, she received a text message from her husband, saying, "The landlord called today and wanted to increase the rent from 2500 to 2800." After seeing the text message, Xiao Sai's heart sank.She works in a securities company and has lived with her husband and her parents in a small two-bedroom apartment in Fuhua New Village, Gangxia, for a year and a half. Although the house is a bit damp on the first floor, the floor in the living room has been in disrepair for a long time, the mottled traces look older than the house itself, and the washing machine always makes a huge roar in the middle of the night...but Xiao Sai is still used to the supporting facilities near Gangsha.Needless to say, the subway is right at your doorstep.In addition, for Xiao Sai, a glutton, there are many gourmet places around. If she has nothing to do, go to the nearby Sichuan Douhua to eat Sichuan food, or go to the Siberian Tiger to have a plate of sauced pork ribs. The unhappiness of throwing into the sky. Considering the many conveniences of the current residence, Xiao Sai decided to live in Gangxia before buying a house even if it cost 300 yuan more. Xiao Sai's rent increase was pretty reliable, and what's more, it increased by 600 yuan in one day.Yin Yanqing, senior manager of Haiwen Branch of Neptunus Real Estate, cited an example he handled: "There is a 58-square-meter house in a community around Shenzhen University. On the same day, a tenant took a fancy to the house and paid a deposit. Unexpectedly, the landlord immediately raised the price to 2,800 yuan after learning about the recent rental market, and then changed his mind temporarily and raised it to 3,200 yuan. There was an increase of 600 yuan, but the deal was finally made. The tenant had to move to the hotel because the previous house expired. Now that he meets this suitable house, he can only accept the price of 3,200 yuan.” For those who can barely bear the rising housing prices, they can still "hold" their positions, but a large number of white-collar workers who are fighting alone have begun to be forced to move-from commercial and residential areas to urban villages. Chen Dingqiang, Director of the Shatou Rental Housing Comprehensive Management Office, told the reporter of Shenzhen Evening News, "Not all the ordinary wage earners live in Shangsha, and some white-collar workers also choose to move their residences here. Rough statistics show that the entire number of white-collar workers living in Shangsha More than 30%." He said, "For white-collar workers with a salary of five or six thousand yuan, renting commercial housing costs two to three thousand yuan, and a house of the same size only costs about 1,500 yuan in Shangsha. Why?" Many white-collar workers in Futian Free Trade Zone and Tianan Cyber ​​City are willing to rent houses in Shangsha. However, now even farmers’ houses like Shangsha Village have started to follow suit and raise rents, forcing some white-collar workers living in this area to also start to think about it.Miss Liu is one of them.Ms. Liu works as a department manager of a mobile phone integration company in Tianan Digital City. In 2008, she rented a house in Shangsha with a monthly rent of more than 700 yuan. By the end of 2009, the house price had risen to about 900 yuan.Now the rent in April and June has been raised by 100 yuan and 50 yuan respectively.She said that she had entrusted a friend to rent a house in Longhua, "I heard that a single room there costs more than 500 yuan, and many colleagues have already rented a house in Longhua." In Shenzhen, white-collar workers are driven away by housing prices and rents, and they are destitute and without a fixed place to live. In Guangzhou, 138 urban villages that originally provided dream habitats for young people have also begun to be demolished. "The air there is always mixed with the smell of damp and human body. At night, there will be coquettish women. People speak various dialects. Under every window, there is a young and unruly soul. Dreams are bred and grown here. It is also ruined here, and those who moved away never want to come back, but the imprint of youth has already been branded in their hearts; this place is not an illusion, but it also has deep nostalgia.” An outsider who lived in Yangji Village for 5 years , After learning that Yangji Village was about to be demolished, I wrote such a sad text. Similarly, Ms. Xie, who just moved her home in Wuyang New City, kept complaining to her friends after Yangji Village was demolished and moved: "A single room costs 1,200 yuan/month, and a room and a living room cost 1,600 yuan/month." Month. You said, my rental cost has doubled, how can I live like this?" Ms. Xie graduated from a university in Shantou in 2006. After graduation, she joined a software company in Tianhe as a clerk. At the beginning, Ms. Xie only received a basic salary of more than 1,000 yuan per month. The high-rise buildings in Tianhe often cost more than 2,000 yuan. Her rent is tantamount to "astronomical price" for her.Under the introduction of her senior sister, Ms. Xie and her colleagues rented a single room together in Yangji Village, which is only a short distance from Tianhe. "At that time, I really didn't expect to be able to rent such a cheap house so close to Tianhebei, and I only took one ride to work every day." Ms. Xie emphasized: "You don't need to reverse the car, so you can save a fortune on transportation." In less than four years, the demolition of Yangji Village caused Ms. Xie's rental cost to rise sharply. Ms. Xie said frankly that compared with ordinary commercial residential areas, the living environment in Yangji Village is obviously not good, and there are security concerns for girls; As far as humans are concerned, it is also an excellent shelter.And the advantage is that young people from outside can gather together and become companions who help each other.Now I have switched to another company and received a monthly salary of more than 4,000 yuan. However, the housing cost has also risen, offsetting the salary increase. At present, as the pace of urban village transformation continues to advance, the migrant workers who used to rely on low-rent urban village houses are indeed facing a severe test. Although there is no specific data to show how many migrant workers or college students live in Living in a village in the city.But there is a data that can be referred to: according to the relevant data before the demolition of the Yuexiu District Housing Management Bureau, there are at least 40,000 migrants living in Yangji Village. house.Then, together with Liede Village, Linhe Village, which have been demolished in the past, and Xian Village, which has also entered the pace of demolition and reconstruction, it is conceivable how much the citizens have for renting low-cost housing.Where should those young white-collar workers who have just stepped into society and have little savings find a place to live? It’s no wonder that Stefanie Sun’s “A Perfect Day” came out from an old house in a village in the city, making people even more moved: i want a big house There are large floor-to-ceiling windows sunlight on the floor also warmed my quilt i want a big house lots and lots of rooms A room with the fastest internet A room with many guitars a room with my beautiful clothes A room with a friend and his lover room by room i don't know what to put we don't sleep at night thinking in bed during the day puppy running around the house have a perfect day