Chapter 40 Section 12 Analysis Report on Lu Buwei

Everything happened for a reason.Li Si is like a detective, the case before him is already clear, but the motive is obscure.He wants to complete the process of reverse deduction from the facts of the case to the motive. Let's analyze Lu Buwei first. The principle of Occam's razor is: Do not increase the number of entities unless necessary.The number of bystanders must not be increased more than is necessary for a conspiracy.Although bystanders may not be able to become insiders, after all, there are many risks of being exposed.Lu Buwei took great pains to send Lao Ai into the Empress Dowager's Palace disguised as an eunuch, all the witnesses and material evidences were prepared, none of the procedures that should be done were missed, and not a single official seal that should be affixed was omitted.What is its motivation?First of all, the possibility that Lu Buwei is an idiot is ruled out, that is, it is affirmed that Lu Buwei is a complete actor with sound intelligence and is fully aware of the possible consequences of his actions.That is to say, the reason why he went to great lengths to act out this farce was after weighing it, and it was the one he thought was most beneficial to him among the many plans.So, what are the benefits of this solution?

There is a visual blind spot on the human retina, which is adjacent to the macula and has no photoreceptor cells. The image of an object falling on this point cannot cause vision.Harry Potter's invisibility cloak was developed based on this principle.Human psychology probably has such blind spots.The more you hide and tuck, the more curious and motivated he will be.You are in front of his eyes, but he turns a blind eye.Therefore, when you watch the news broadcast, you forget it, and the gossip spreads more and more widely.This psychological archetype can be traced back to the ancestors of mankind, Adam and Eve who ate the forbidden fruit.

Marquez told such a story in his novel "A Premeditated Murder": Angela, the daughter of Vicario's family, was sent back to her natal home the day after her marriage because on the wedding night she Her husband Roman discovers that she is not a virgin.According to the local customs, this is a great shame, and the brother of the bride must kill the man who shamed the family in order to save the family's face.Under the pressure of her family, Angela named the most unlikely person - Nassar.None of Angela's brothers believed that Nassar had sullied Angela's innocence.But since Angela has identified him, her brother is obliged to kill him to avenge the family.The brothers didn't want to kill, so they publicly announced the time of killing early on. They hoped that Nassar could escape before that day came, so that they could avenge their shame without killing.However, everyone took it as a joke, and no matter what they heard, no one informed Nassar, and no one came forward to stop the brothers.In the end, the brothers were stuck, and on that pre-announced date, they reluctantly took Nassar's life.We can imagine that Nassar would not have died unjustly if the two brothers acted a little sneakily, which would arouse the attention and suspicion of others.

This is the way people think: bad things can only be done secretly, and plots can't be exposed.Since he dared to act openly in public, it can be seen that there will naturally be no conspiracy.The first of the Thirty-Six Strategies is to deceive the sky and cross the sea. There is a saying in the interpretation: "If you prepare for the week, you will be lazy, and if you see it often, you will not doubt it. Yin is within Yang, not in opposition to Yang. Sun, Taiyin." Therefore, it is first discovered that there are sunspots in the sun. , should be psychologists, not astronomers.

Li Si was not interested in Lu Buwei's psychological attainments.What interested him was who exactly Lu Buwei wanted to hide.Concealment must come from fear, and how many people in this world can make Lu Buwei feel fear?