Chapter 28 2. Analysis Report on the False Prince Incident
The above scene that happened in Chang'an that spring seemed very exciting.I also think it's interesting, but the taste is very unusual.Based on the above conclusions alone, it seems far-fetched to expect a fortune teller to risk his life for wealth in exchange for his life.
In my opinion, this may not be the truth of history.Through the dust and fog of history, it is necessary for us to make a rational analysis and reasoning about this historical event.Here, on the question of why the fortune teller risked his life to carry out the counterfeit goods to the end, I put forward the following hypotheses.
Indeed, there was such a person who had been a housekeeper under Liu Ju's family. Hu County (now west of Lingbao County, Henan Province) accidentally met Cheng Fangsui, a fortune teller.You know, when Liu Ju fled, he hid in Hu County.It is not surprising that Liu Jushen appeared in Hu County.Liu Ju Sheren and the fortune teller, Cheng Fangsui, had nothing to do and chatted casually, not intending to reveal that the fortune teller was very similar to the former prince Liu Ju.
That could have been a compliment.Since they were chatting with each other, and the job of a fortune teller was nonsense, of course Liu Jusheren couldn't let go of the opportunity of nonsense.However, the unintentional words were heard by the fortune teller.
In the eyes of the fortune teller, over the years, how many passers-by have passed before his eyes.Rich and poor, there are countless in sight.However, for many years, he has been counted as male or female, old or young, but he can't figure out where he will go.
Perhaps, he was tired of staying in this small place in Hu County, and it was time to leave this poor place.What he lacks is not courage, but opportunity.Where is the opportunity?I look like the prince Liu Shi, or the prince Liu Shi looks like me, is this a once-in-a-thousand-year opportunity?
The fortune teller Cheng Fang was tempted.He thought, should he go to Chang'an to try his luck?After a lot of struggle, he finally came to a conclusion that the timid would be starved to death, and the bold would be starved to death.It's better to go for a run.If it succeeds, the whole family will go to heaven. If it fails, at most twenty years later, I will go back to my old business and return to my old fortune-telling business.
So, the fortune-teller bought a small ox cart with years of savings, put on the yellow flag of the dragon and snake statue, put on a yellow robe and short jacket, and set off.
This is hypothesis one.
Indeed, there was such a person who had been a housekeeper under Liu Ju's family.However, Liu Ju fled, and his job could not be kept.So, fortunately, he escaped from Chang'an and hid in Hu County.The depressing life made him feel unwilling.You know, when you were hanging out with Liu Shi before, not to mention delicious food and spicy food, there was always plenty of fish and meat.But today, in order to save his life, he hid in Tibet, which is worse than the rats in the sewer.
If there is an effect, there must be a cause. Who made him live this miserable life?Isn't it the Liu Fuling in Chang'an City?At a young age, I was born to be the emperor's life, but I don't know how much my adult uncle has suffered.How should I put it, if you mistreat uncle, I, an uncle-level figure, can't just let you sit so comfortably on the emperor's seat.In that case, let's find something to do.
That day, Liu Jusheren was wandering in the street.Suddenly, his eyes lit up, and he had an idea in his heart.The so-called calculations of a genius have always been like divine help, a burst of inspiration.The reason why his eyes lit up was because he found a fortune teller on the street who looked exactly like Prince Liu Shi.
The most feared thing in the world is that there are too many suns in the sky, so the legend of Hou Yi shooting the sun was invented in the world.That legend is to tell us that there cannot be too many suns, but one is enough.If there is one more, I am afraid that everyone will become cave primitives.
In the same way, within a country, there cannot be too many emperors, one is enough.If there is another one, they will toss each other, and it will suffer for the emperor and the world.But Liu Jusheren didn't think so.He thought, if he can fool the fortune teller successfully, let him act as a scapegoat for a while, don't disturb the world to death, shake that Liu Fuling's throne a few times, make him be frightened for a few days, and be afraid for a few days, that's also considered Guaranteed business.
Ever since, Liu Ju Sheren went to the stall of the fortune teller Cheng Fangsui, and gave full play to his ability of talking nonsense when he was a roommate.In the end, he told the fortune teller, listen to what he said, follow his plan, and enter Chang'an to ensure your eternal wealth.
Then, Liu Jusheren offered to sponsor him for his vehicle and clothing. As long as he puts in some effort to make the trip, and then he will let the palace people pick him up, even if he is not an emperor, but a prince, he will surely succeed.At that moment, the fortune teller Cheng Fang was moved.Soon, at the instigation of Liu Jusheren, he set off.
This is hypothesis two.
The third version is different from the above.First of all, since Huo Guang became regent, he has been preoccupied.Back then, when Liu Jude gave all over the world, everyone looked around.Now, with a little emperor, the merits have not yet manifested, and the regent may still be suspected of ordering the world by coercing the emperor.So far, the world has been silent, and no one has pointed fingers at Chang'an.It's pretty scary.
Because there are only three possibilities for silence: Absolute obedience and recognition of the new government, this is the first; This is the third.
The world is silent, how deep is this silent water?Huo Guang didn't know, Shangguan Jie didn't know, Tian Qianqiu didn't know, and Liu Fuling didn't know.If you want to know how deep the water is, you can't find it by throwing a stone.The best way is to throw a bomb into the deep water. As long as there are big fish in the water, they will definitely be blown up.
Huo Guang believed that in order to test the strength of the New Deal and to test Chang'an's people's hearts, it was necessary for him to throw a bomb into the unfathomable deep political waters.So, where to find explosives?
At this time, someone told Huo Guang that it was said that someone saw a fortune teller in Hu County who looked exactly like the former prince Liu Shi.Hearing this news, Huo Guang knew that the bomb he had prepared was available.
So, Huo Guang sent a confidant, pretending to be Liu Jusheren, to Hu County to find the fortune teller.Under the bewilderment, the fortune teller was moved.So disguised, he set out on the road to die.
Combining the above three speculations, it is not difficult for us to find one similarity: the fortune teller is an out-and-out cheated person.
Guess one is cheated by oneself, guesses two and three are cheated by others.I think it is normal for him to be cheated.You know, the so-called master fortune tellers, who count the sky, the earth, and the people, have always been secrets that cannot be leaked.He is not a master, just a second-rate person who talks nonsense on the street.Therefore, he was cheated not because his head was kicked by a donkey or trampled by a cow, but because his IQ was too low.
Because of his inferior IQ, when he went to Chang'an Bofugui, he didn't make a long-term calculation of the cost of the adventure.He thought that as long as he yelled at the north gate of Weiyang Palace, people would be afraid of him, and immediately welcome him into the palace and make arrangements for him.Even if they are found out, they will be beaten with a few sticks and driven out of Chang'an City.He didn't expect that the incident would become such a big mess, and the whole Chang'an was confused and lively.
From this point of view, guess one seems to be more ironic than the latter two guesses.
I believe history is good at jokes.But I believe that those who dare to play with history, such as Huo Guang, can be invincible in the arena of swords, lights and swords, what do they rely on?Machiavellian.Machiavellianism is the most terrifying art in the world, and it is also the art with the most appreciation value.
And countless cases of power struggles also tell us that politics can be performed, and it can even be manipulated.Therefore, I think that the above-mentioned farce in Chang'an, which seemed funny, was actually a perfect hype.
In this hype drama, Huo Guang is the director, the fortune teller is the lead actor, and Jun Buyi is the on-site cleaner.The entire Chang'an citizens are bored spectators.
Huo Guang seemed to see that the beautiful city of Chang'an could no longer escape his rolling palm.