Chapter 10 Adventure Chapter-6

Heath City transparent trial A "trial of tolerance" - you will make your choices alone. ——Game Paradox The elders bid us farewell, Stero and South sent us out of the village, although we promised South to have tea again, and Stero to chat and drink He brewed his own wine, but I knew in my heart that such an opportunity might never come again.When Mai Li and I walked out of the village, I couldn't help but look back and look nostalgic. Looking at Hyde Village, at this moment it is like a beautiful dream scene, and the dream is about to wake up. Mai Li and I rode horses back to the castle along the way we went. When we got back to the castle, it was already dark. It seems that we have to live here again today.

inside.The ticket to go back was cancelled, but I was very happy and even wanted to stay for a few more days. We had to answer two more questions to get a middle suite.Mai Li asked me if I still want to go to the street to earn something, I just want to eat quickly sleep after.In the past two days, my brain nerves seemed to be sucked away by everything, and I felt tired like never before. We returned early the next morning, and it was already afternoon when we arrived at Heath City.As soon as I arrived at Heath Manor, I heard the waiter call me, saying that there is mine Express.I think it came from the company headquarters, so it must be an air ticket, which has expired anyway, so I didn't open it.I told Mai Li that I would like to stay here for two more days, anyway

My vacation hasn't arrived yet. Mai Li promised to come to me in a while and accompany me around Heath City. He wanted to go to the city hall first. Mai Li came back soon and asked me if I was going to visit a trial.I asked strangely: "What's so interesting about the trial? Why do you still call it a visit?" Li said happily or slightly excitedly: "Today is the most famous judge in Heath City - the mathematician Ofili personally presides over it." "That's right, mathematicians interrogating prisoners? Are you still excited? Your laws are strange enough."

"Let's go, you will know when you go, this is a great contribution made by modern mathematicians to society." "Let's just turn around." "It's okay to go around, I don't care, anyway, there will be a chance to meet in the future, but you don't even have a chance to regret it." After hearing what Mai Li said, I was really curious, Mai Li wouldn't make such silly jokes. "Okay, when are you going?" "Let's go now!" Mai Li is familiar with the road, and we soon arrived at the trial site. I really don't know the reason for visiting the trial.More people came to see the trial than I could have imagined

, a big room was almost full.We can see the two people being interrogated through a large transparent mirror, but they can't see the people here, except for one The two sides of the communicator are isolated from each other, and the two sides are separated from each other. The two suspects are also divided into two isolated interrogation rooms.The mathematician is finally here, this The mathematician named Ofili feels more like a pedant to me. His slightly thin body seems to have been suffering from illnesses, but his piercing eyes The eyes are instantly respectful, and the following time belongs to him.

He cleared his throat and said to one of the suspects through the megaphone: "If you confess the facts and your accomplice denies them, we will You resist arrest and you get six months in prison, but your accomplice gets twenty years.If you don't confess, and he does, you'll get twenty years He was only sentenced to six months in prison.However, if both of you confess, then each will be sentenced to eight years; of course, if both of you refuse to admit, each will be sentenced to Stay for two weeks.You can think about it. Ofili repeated the same words to another suspect. Then everyone waited for the results together.

unpredictable ending unpredictable ending From a rational standpoint of self-interest, As a result, irrational results are often obtained at the expense of others. ——Ophelia's Enlightenment The communicator was then turned off, and a curtain like that used in performances covered the large mirror, and everyone waited for the result. I quietly asked Mai Li: "It's over?" "Just waiting for the answer." "Will it work? If I don't confess. It's not easy." "I don't understand either. It's really too simple. Could there be other results?"

"Yes, if you don't admit it, you will be detained for two weeks. You are too risky. If this happens, your government will really let the suspect go. ! " At this time, a middle-aged man next to him said: "But there is no way to sentence them otherwise." "why?" "It is said that no evidence has been found so far. The time for detention is coming soon. Otherwise, he will have to be released." "Then you can continue to look for evidence?" Mai Li said: "Just wait and see, this mathematician didn't ask casually. Besides, before there is no evidence, no one can be sure that the suspect is a criminal."

Offend it. " "That's what I said, but it can't be interrogated like this. I think that actively looking for evidence is the right strategy." The person next to him said again: "How can you be sure that they will not admit it?" "Of course, if you don't admit it, you will be let go." Mai Li thought for a while and said: "No, it means that neither of them will admit it. If one of them admits it but the other doesn't, the person who doesn't admit it will be Sentenced to twenty years. " "Then neither of them will admit it."

"You can put yourself in the shoes and think about it, if it were you, what would you do?" It seems that it is not as simple as I thought.Now suppose I am one of them, and if I don't admit it, my accomplice must also not admit it, otherwise I will Sentenced to twenty years, he was only imprisoned for six months.If I confess and he does not confess, I will be imprisoned for six months; if I confess and he confesses, each will be sentenced to eight years. The choice now can only be this: if I confess, I will be sentenced to six months or eight years; if I do not confess, I will be sentenced to two weeks or twenty years.I can guarantee that the partner made

choose?cannot.I can only make the choice alone now.I can only choose to confess for myself, but what if he also chooses to confess?if he also confesses , I have no choice but to confess, otherwise twenty years will be mine.Will he do the same analysis, and in the end he can only choose to confess, but now I already know the secret of this question, and the accomplice may have thought of it, so we all choose not to confess, but whether he thought of me or not Betting, why do we all choose to refuse to admit it when we know the secret of this question?There is no guarantee.so get for yourself The clearest result is to choose to be honest.Because at least in this way, I will be sentenced to eight years at most, but what if he refuses to admit it?I didn't hurt him.But He must be able to think of this, so he will choose to confess, then I have no way out, I can only choose to confess. I thought about it over and over again, and found that the most likely outcome is that they all choose to confess, but this is not the best outcome for the suspect. After rational analysis, a suboptimal answer is obtained, and this suboptimal answer seems to be far more likely than other options.what is this reason? The results haven’t come out yet, so I can’t sit still. I already believe that this mathematician named Ofili is indeed very good, but I asked Mai Li for more. If you keep going, isn't the result already obvious?Mai Li said: "After the results come out, the interrogation is over, but Ofili still has to give lectures! He will Explain to everyone the methods and principles used in each interrogation. " There is also such a strange city, they actually use this method to improve the mathematics of the people or the thinking ability that Mai Li said, but I also think this It's a very interesting idea. At least I don't have to sit in the classroom and listen to the teacher write boring formulas. In the end, my only regret is that I am ashamed of my boss. Teacher's hard work. Jingle bell...a bell rang, and one of the suspects rang the bell, and everyone became nervous. "I, I... I confess!" Everyone let out a sigh in unison. One person has already confessed, at least there will be no situation where the two people refuse to admit at the same time that everyone is worried about.Of course, the first one has already confessed, so it is impossible to be sentenced. Twenty years, it depends on whether it is six months or eight years.I don't know why, but suddenly I feel a little worthless for the two criminals, as if the interrogation is not just and fair A thing, but a deception like that.But the government did catch criminals because of it. As expected, the other confessed after a while, and each was sentenced to eight years in prison. Life is like playing chess Life is like playing chess Ofili breathed a sigh of relief, "Actually, this result is not 100% likely to occur, but it is the most likely." "You mean probably Is the rate higher? "A person who also came to visit asked. "This probability is not like the common probability in mathematics. It is difficult to calculate, but it can be roughly estimated." "It's hard to calculate, is it still possible to calculate?" Another voice asked. I wonder why there are so many math-minded guys in Heath City. Mai Li is a good example, although he is not in front of me. How many math problems have been solved before, but his thinking is obviously very logical.I really admire this city, but I feel a little tired. Ofili said: "If we can determine a psychological index for each individual's psychology, then calculate the probability, I think it is feasible." "But how to determine this psychological index?" "Yes, this is a key, and it is also a proof that mathematics is not omnipotent, because even if this index uses mathematics as a model, it must have The involvement of sociology and psychology is possible, and I must stress only possible.Because until now it has not been possible to comprehensively address all social and psychological problems Mathematical, or maybe never will. " "That doesn't mean it can't be done." Ofili was not angry, "What I'm talking about is that we can't mathematicalize all social and psychological problems, but find a socially acceptable psychological coefficient and use it It is not necessarily impossible to calculate some results. " Everyone fell silent. Ofili said: "The question just now belongs to a marginal discipline, which is a combination of mathematics, sociology, psychology, economics and other disciplines. Combined, it is now mostly called game theory. "Then he introduced a little background knowledge. He continued: "The result of the two criminals' refusal to admit It is in their best interest, but who dares to take this risk!The two chose to confess at the same time, and each was sentenced to eight years in prison. This ending is called a non-cooperative equilibrium.Reality There are many such examples in China, especially for economics, because the previous classical economic theory believed that the market is rational, but this non-cooperative The equilibrium situation just shows that what we think is a rational choice may just be an irrational choice.Because blindly care about their own interests, but the result is Not the most robust result. ..." Indeed, this is a regrettable balance, and I do not mean to protect criminals, because this is just an example in reality, and similar situations often occur Threatening the better outcomes we could have achieved.I am sorry that if we start from the rational point of view of self-interest, we often get the irrationality of harming others and benefiting ourselves. result.It seems that it is not enough to do "do unto others what you do not want unto yourself", is it possible to further achieve "do unto others what others do not want unto you"? Ofili went on to describe several possible solutions. How to solve this "paradox" that can happen every day. Maybe if you are careful, you have discovered that there is an important condition.They were interrogated in isolation, which meant that there was no chance of collusion.chain feeder There will be many, maybe it's just a look or just a momentary stagnation when passing by, or maybe it's just a wordless action, so there is no chance of collusion. It will be when there is no possibility of communication at all.On the contrary, if one of them can be realized, that is, the two people have achieved the purpose of colluding confession, then the marriage will be concluded. The consequences are also obvious - be released soon.It is this same truth that serves as a reminder to both opposing sides—cops and criminals—to If you want to achieve your goals, you must analyze well! In order to achieve "cooperative balance", we must communicate, communicate or have other prerequisites. Be it career, love, or life. Let's see how it works in love. The weekend is here, and the little boy and girl in love are planning where to go.The little boy really wants to watch a football match, and the little girl wants to go shopping, what should I do?please don't assume Too many, such as the assumption that the two are in a delicate relationship, is just a normal disagreement. Let's get out of the inability to "collude confession".The little man might say, "This kind of game is too rare, if you don't watch it this time, you may never see it again. Wonderful.Next time I will definitely go shopping with you for a day. "And other similar must-see reasons, I also accept this kind of helpless reason, no one can make the comparison The game has been rescheduled.But the little girl said, "If it wasn't for today, I would definitely accompany you to watch the game, but do you know what day it is?" The little boy was taken aback. The little girl went on to say, "It's my grandma's birthday, and she's in the hospital now, I want to buy her a bouquet of flowers, and I want you to go with me, she will definitely be very tall when she sees you Happy. " Then there was a soft and slightly apologetic look. Hey, of course we will accept this reason, no matter how rare a ball game is, it cannot be the "love" between relatives. "Compare it! This is a "cooperative equilibrium" achieved through exchange and communication, and the following is an example assuming that there is a precondition. Xiao Jia finally got the long-awaited concert, so he bought two tickets early.Xiao Yiqia wanted to buy a long-awaited dress on the day of the concert Clothes.Xiao Jia came to Xiao Yi excitedly with two tickets. He was already intoxicated in the music. Although Xiao Yi didn't love this concert, at least he didn't hate it. After all, I am also a music lover, so there is a "balanced cooperation" to watch the concert. I found that the solution Professor Ofili said has been applied unconsciously in reality, which shows that we have been subconsciously trying to avoid that. The emergence of a result that is not beneficial to oneself or to others, it seems that as long as the whole society consciously avoids "harmful" behaviors, a rational and reasonable social environment can still be obtained. of. However, things in life will be much more complicated and chaotic, but any life cannot lack communication, communication, with relatives, friends, and unknowns. The end of the world of fame is reduced to people, birds and beasts, flowers and trees, nature, the earth, and one's own soul. I think life is a complex game process, how should we play this game?Because our opponent is not others, but ourselves - Own - life. beautiful behind beautiful behind “We protect the environment in various ways, But the environment is still deteriorating. " ——Environmental protection paradox Finally, I can take a look at this legendary and beautiful city of Heath. The environment around Heath City can be said to be a model of the most harmonious coexistence between human beings and nature.The "waste" discharged from almost every factory is environmentally friendly , Meet environmental protection requirements, and some are even recycled.At the same time, it is also an effective use of resources. Resources are of course the guarantee of life for human beings. . As we passed a shop we ran into one of Mailey's friends, Elena, who was an environmental volunteer and happened to be going to Forest Park in Heath City to collect After collecting the specimens, we went together. The forest park covers a large area and is classified as a protected area, so the ecology inside basically maintains its original appearance. Elena has been engaged in this work for more than three years. I heard from her that there are still many volunteers like her. I think the protection here is already very good. Why? And so many volunteers.It seems that the better the ecological protection, the stronger people's awareness of environmental protection, which forms a virtuous circle. But Yelena said as she walked: "Actually, you don't know the real situation. Not to mention other places, it is here, known as the world's environmental protection work." Where it does its best, the natural environment is destroyed by humans on a daily basis. " "Impossible?" I think she is exaggerating, maybe she wants to show her love and devotion to environmental protection.But I found a similar volunteer Most of them are women. I don't know if it's because men are more optimistic about everything, so that they have long been numb to many important details. She squinted at me with her eyes, "Let's go and have a look together." After walking in the woods for a long time, Elena collected various plant specimens while walking and explained them to us. Slowly, I also began to look around.wait out After arriving, Elena told us an astonishing number. She said that our route and collection range today are exactly the same as those she walked two years ago, but The number of plant varieties has decreased by nearly 70, 20 less than last year. But do I want to go through the data science I get? When Elena heard the word "science", her emotions suddenly became excited, "Human beings always believe too much that they have mastered the truth, thinking that science It can keep the correct direction of mankind, but isn't all the damage caused by science? " I was also a little dissatisfied, "How can you say that all the damage is caused by science? Isn't it the result of science that is used to control the environment?" Elena said: "I just want to remind you that if there were no so-called scientific inventions, there would be no protection issue at all." Maybe, although I think Elena is a bit stubborn or biased, but what she said is not unreasonable after all. Because no matter how we use environmental protection equipment to manage carefully, environmental protection equipment is equipment after all, and these equipment themselves will also destroy the balance of nature. , even if the impact is very small, it is impossible to truly achieve completeness.We are still destroying the ecology while protecting it, and what is even more frightening is that sometimes people still In the name of protection, it intensified.This worrying "paradox" is before us now. On the way back to Heath Manor, I thought about how the ancient Chinese faced nature.The four great inventions that influenced the progress of world civilization all came from ancient China , our ancients used gunpowder mainly for entertainment, but after it was introduced to the West, it became guns and explosives; tools, which Westerners used as guides for aggression.Different uses of the same thing can produce completely different results.Westerners do not like war any more than Easterners , but they believe more in the benefits that science can bring. This kind of destructiveness comes from the infinite pursuit of benefits, and aggression is just a means.if only Human beings make good use of the tools in our hands. I don't think our future will make the Elenas have so many emotions. The future of mankind is indeed worth looking forward to, and it is also worthy of our efforts.