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Chapter 21 Prophecy and History

Yu Dafu's Prose 郁达夫 850Words 2018-03-18
Every time China is in turmoil, there are always many prophecies—or rumors—that come out, some of which are reprints of ancient books, and some are unconscious sleepwalking.This time the Japanese pirates invaded, women, children, old and young people in Shanghai, Hangzhou, Pingjin, Hebei, and Jin Dynasty suffered for no reason. The number of non-combat casualties was several times higher than the number of soldiers—combatants—so it was Liu Bowen and Li Chunfeng’s proud autumn. : What is it called "Jiahu battle tide, "the last catastrophe is in Quantang", etc. From the perspective of the situation, it is inevitable that the Japanese pirates will not land from Zhapu and the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, but will attack Shanghai. However, some time ago In the past days, the Japanese pirates falsely claimed that there was a change outside the pass, and transferred the North China soldiers from Tanggu to the south, which is something we did not expect. However, the two routes of Pinghan and Jinpu, taking advantage of the current enemy situation, cannot make progress steadily. , Success as we expected, is also a question that is difficult for us to answer. Under these circumstances, there is almost a prophecy.

Prophecy is not a national quintessence unique to China. Foreign military scientists, scientists, and writers, born out of historical evolution and based on science, have made quite a few predictions for the past fifty years.To sum it up, it is said that a world war is inevitable. China must first suffer, and around 1940, it will be able to turn around. The final victory must be the United States. Foreign Shaokang festivals are certainly not more reliable than Chinese Guiguzi, but Chinese prophecies are purely mysterious, while foreign prophecies are mostly based on historical and scientific calculations, and the two are slightly different.

However, the mysterious Chinese people often do things beyond science. From a good point of view, the degree of patience is far higher than that of foreigners, which is an example.On the bad side, there are many shortcomings, and the biggest point is that they believe in the destiny too much and refuse to strengthen themselves.For example, when someone goes to fortune-telling, and the astronomer says that he will be rich and powerful in one year, he will not work hard during this year, just pretending to be rich and powerful. It must be frozen.The same is true for nationalities. There are still three full years between now and 1940. If we only rely on the predictions of foreigners and become self-satisfied before we know it, it may be 1950. , and will not turn over.The nine-nation pact meeting seems to be a fulfillment of foreign prophecies, but the agreement between Italy, Germany and Japan is also the opposite fulfillment.

The master of common sense, Smy Hall, quoted an old saying that "God helps those who help themselves." Although this is not a prophecy, judging from historical examples, it is true.Therefore, we only have to erect high fortifications, endure hardships and fight the war, pay tribute to the production in the rear, and at the same time try to open up a way out for communication with foreign countries. Originally published in Fuzhou Xiaomin Daily on November 17, 1937
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