Chapter 27 3. Let your dreams fly: three dimensions
Dreams are a kind of sublimation.Things that are not easy to do at ordinary times can be realized in our dreams, and things that have been initially achieved in ordinary times, we can look forward to the future by letting go of our dreams.It is in the latter sense that we might as well let our dreams fly, so that our discussion of the Chinese road, Chinese model and Chinese discourse can gain a new sublimation.We can look forward to the bright future of the Chinese road, Chinese model and Chinese discourse from the three dimensions of politics, economy and society:
In the political field, through our unremitting efforts, socialism with Chinese characteristics may become the mainstream version of world socialism in 10-20 years; the Chinese model will be concerned, studied and learned by many countries in the world; Chinese discourse will also follow the trend And become a powerful discourse on the international stage, all of which will profoundly affect the future changes in the world order.Historically, Buddhism entered China and changed China, but China also changed Buddhism, which is the Sinicization of Buddhism.Marxism entered China and changed China, but China also changed Marxism. This is the Sinicization of Marxism.Socialism entered China and changed China, and China also changed socialism, which is the socialism with Chinese characteristics that we are advancing.Today we say that the final goal of all reforms in China is to perfect and develop socialism with Chinese characteristics.When we surpass the United States in terms of economic aggregate, people's wealth, social security, people's satisfaction, and other areas that Chinese people care about most, we can confidently say that we have proved that society Socialism is indeed a fairer, more humane, more prosperous, and better society than capitalism.Now we are more modest, we use the concept of "socialism with Chinese characteristics".At that time, the words "Chinese characteristics" may be omitted. It is estimated that there will be "socialism with Swedish characteristics" and "socialism with Vietnamese characteristics" in the world, but what most people mean by "socialism" may mean It is the Chinese version of socialism, that is to say, socialism with Chinese characteristics will become the mainstream socialism in the world.Deng Xiaoping said in the past that through the efforts of several generations, we will eventually prove that the socialist system is superior to the capitalist system, and this goal seems to be steadily being achieved.
With the rise of China, the model of deliberative democracy created by the Chinese, the new model of democratic centralism, the "selection + election" model, the relatively strong and neutral government governance model, the concepts of "selecting talents and appointing talents" and "supporting the people", " The concept of "public opinion" and "people's will" will be widely recognized around the world.Chinese discourse will also become a powerful discourse.On the international stage, we should advocate more justice and make more contributions to the establishment of a more just world order.We will re-examine the logic of "being beaten if you fall behind" from the perspective of Chinese discourse, and we want to point out that the weak must strive to become strong, but the strong cannot beat others just because they are strong. You have no such right.The "democracy and autocracy" paradigm that the West has always advocated will be replaced by the "good governance and bad governance" paradigm. Most countries will realize that good governance can be a Western system or a non-Western system. institutions, or non-Western institutions.China's success will encourage more and more countries to explore development paths that suit their own national conditions.
In the economic field, China will become the world's largest economy, and the speed and range of improvement of Chinese people's lives will be the highest in the world. China's "socialist market economy" model will become the most competitive development model in the world. Science textbooks will be rewritten by the success of the Chinese model.China's "socialist market economy" model combines the "invisible hand" and the "visible hand". The mainstream economic model in the West has also surpassed the interpretation ability of modern Western economics.It has created the economy in the world with the longest period of sustained growth and the greatest improvement in people's lives, while effectively avoiding the wave after wave of financial, fiscal, and economic crises that Western countries have experienced.If we follow the above-mentioned example that Buddhism has changed China and China has also changed Buddhism, then we can imagine that if most of the goals of deepening the reform of the economic system proposed in the Third Plenary Session of the Eighteenth Central Committee of the Communist Party of China can be realized, we will It can also be said that the modern market economy has changed China, and China has also changed the modern market economy, that is, it has realized the Sinicization of the modern market economy.
China's success in the past 30 years is largely due to the combination of the Chinese model and the characteristics of China's "civilized country".As long as we stay on this path, it will continue to have huge demographic and scale effects.Taking e-commerce as an example, online shopping is still an individual activity in the West, but in China, it has become a way of life for hundreds of millions of people.In the next few years, the online shopping and e-commerce transaction volume of one or two largest companies in China may exceed the online shopping and e-commerce transaction volume of the entire United States.Similarly, in the field of new energy industry, China's population effect will greatly reduce the cost of new energy sources such as solar energy and wind energy, and greatly reduce the cost of electric vehicles, so that China will lead the world's energy revolution in the global clean energy industry.From a geographical perspective, the China model has produced a highly benign interaction between the "quasi-developed sector" and the "emerging economy sector".The central and western regions are repeating the miracles of the coastal regions in the past 20 years. It is estimated that in 15-20 years, our inland areas will also become relatively developed regions, pushing the scale and quality of the entire Chinese economy to a higher level.
An important feature of China's "socialist market economy" model is the government's planning capabilities and macro-control capabilities. Perhaps we can use the concept of "development administration" to summarize this capability.This can correspond to the "public management" invented by the West.China's macro-control and the formulation and implementation of one after another five-year plans, China's system design and arrangement of "macro stability, micro loosening, and social support" are all important components of China's "development management".Ultimately, Chinese universities should be able to develop a whole set of "development management" courses, just like the "public management" courses offered by universities today.China's macro-control today has long gone beyond the scope of Keynesian economics, because under the "socialist market economy" model, the Chinese government can use methods far beyond the fiscal policy and monetary policy mentioned by Keynes. China also has other Some "tools" that many countries do not have, such as land resources and strategic resources controlled by the state, and a large number of large state-owned enterprises that have performed well.They enable the Chinese government to have stronger macro-control capabilities.
One challenge to China's development model comes from the financial hegemony of the United States.China's financial industry has made great achievements over the years, especially withstanding the financial crisis triggered by the United States. These achievements are already remarkable, and we must fully affirm them, but it seems that our proactive attack is not enough.Scholar Chen Ping once suggested using China's largest foreign exchange reserves in the world to build an Asian dollar bond market in Shanghai.Some countries, especially developing countries, if they have good projects and need to issue bonds to raise funds, they can do so in this market.The United States has implemented quantitative easing time and time again, constantly passing on its own crisis, and the US dollar is still depreciating in general. By building the Asian US dollar bond market, we may be able to form a US dollar wealth management mechanism that the Chinese can control themselves. We cannot grow old. It is to let the United States play the cards and we take the cards, which is too passive.
As mentioned above, historically the West has mainly relied on two things to defeat China, one is military and the other is finance.From the 16th century, Europe began to fight wars with three or four hundred countries, and finally there were twenty or thirty countries. As a result, the military developed, and then it bullied and conquered others, expanded its colonies, and defeated China.But after more than 60 years of hard work, we have indeed caught up. We have established a strong national defense, and no country dares to invade China militarily.But in terms of finance, after Britain defeated China in the Opium War, it was about to sign an unequal treaty, and the supporting system behind the unequal treaty was the financial system dominated by the United Kingdom.Back then, China's war reparations system was controlled by the British.Today, the West still controls the world's financial system. This is an unjust system that needs to be reformed accordingly.
We have made great achievements in the financial field. Our foreign exchange reserves are the largest in the world. The renminbi has surpassed the euro and the yen to become the second largest financing currency in international trade. The renminbi has begun to move abroad on a large scale. In fact, today the world is everywhere It can be exchanged for renminbi, because the whole world has this demand. China is the world's largest trading country, but due to various reasons, the renminbi is not yet a fully convertible currency, and the opening of the capital market is also strictly controlled.Should we also try in the field of finance: Can we not beat others in this field, but at least catch up or reach a level on par with the West?For such a large country with such a large foreign exchange reserve, it is probably impossible to do such a thing at all.Now the Shanghai Free Trade Zone has started a pilot project in this area, and I hope it will be successful.If it turns out that this approach is not feasible, we can also do it in another way.Maybe if we continue to develop like this, people will recognize our currency sooner or later, so there is no need to rush - we are a big trading country, everyone needs RMB, even a lot, and eventually the whole world will accept RMB.
I have read some articles written by Western scholars. For example, some scholars in France wrote that China holds a "financial atomic bomb" against the United States. Former US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton also asked Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd in private: It is already the largest creditor of the United States. Under such circumstances, how can the United States be tough on China?In other words, some people in the West have long seen that once China becomes the largest creditor of the United States, it will be able to exert huge political, economic and even military influence on the United States.But it seems that there are not many people in our country who think about problems like this. China today needs to encourage this kind of forward-looking and original research. We must think through the problems in the financial field, and our structure should be bigger. Take a look at our What can we do, finally play a strong role in the financial field, revitalize our assets, and put us in a more proactive and favorable position.Even if it cannot be done for a while, it does not matter. Such research and discussion must be carried out as soon as possible, and the results will definitely have a shocking effect, which will have positive significance for China's future strategy and diplomacy.
We must have a sense of being a big country. A big country needs a big idea. Building China’s Asian dollar bond market is such a big idea. Whether it can be achieved still needs to be studied.We can learn from China's experience in developing defense technology.The direct leader of China's national defense science and technology at that time was Marshal Nie Rongzhen. Marshal Nie was characterized by taking one step, watching three steps, actively defending and offensively defending.He has broad vision and long-term vision, and has considerable knowledge of science and technology.He adopted Chairman Mao’s military strategic thinking. Our first atomic bomb was successfully tested in 1964, but Nie Rongzhen proposed to Chairman Mao as early as 1961 to develop intercontinental missiles. Air defense missiles will develop into anti-missile systems in the future. It is necessary to consider launching sounding rockets to open up the way for interstellar navigation in the future.In the financial industry, can we study Nie Rongzhen's strategic thinking of leading China's national defense technology?In the field of finance, we need to have a vision and thinking beyond the American model and the Western model today, so that our financial industry and our financial innovation can better serve China's real economy, including new industrialization and new towns globalization, technological development, new energy development, etc.Our financial industry needs a Nie Rongzhen. In the end, the establishment of China's socialist market economic model cannot be separated from China's financial innovation and transcendence.
In the social field, we will create a "vigorous society", a "warm society" and a "beautiful home" that truly belong to the majority.We have formed the most dynamic and progressive society in the world, and we have formed the largest working class and middle class in the world; We will reject the Western "society-state" confrontation model and choose the Chinese culture-based "society-state" interaction model.The scale and speed of social change in China are unheard of in human history. What Chinese people have experienced in a lifetime may exceed what Westerners have experienced in two or three generations. In this sense, Chinese society is the most dynamic and changing society. Various contradictions emerge in endlessly, but Chinese society generally presents a positive trend, which is completely different from the overall downward trend of Western society.
Our People's Republic is essentially a country for ordinary people, a society where ordinary people feel relatively free.The biggest difference between our country and Western countries is that Western countries are countries created by nobles, rich people, and property owners, while China is a country created by proletarians and ordinary people.Western property owners created their own countries, then reshaped society according to their own values, established a rule of law society dominated by the rich, and regulated the social behavior of all people. After hundreds of years of hard work, more people gradually became into the middle class.This kind of society established by the rich has its strengths. It is more orderly, more step-by-step, everything has rules to follow, and there is a bit of aristocratic elegance and arrogance; but this kind of society also has its own weaknesses. Social interest groups seriously Solidification, the society lacks vitality and stagnates, the poor and ordinary people have fewer and fewer opportunities to change their own destiny, social cohesion is getting lower and lower, various new social problems are emerging one after another, the crime rate is generally rising, and now it is difficult to adapt to the rise of China. challenge.
China's ordinary people's society originated from China's long-standing populist culture, which is reflected in the slogan "the princes and generals are better than each other" more than 2,000 years ago, and it is also reflected in the ancient saying "everyone can become Yao and Shun" .The rapid acceptance of the socialist concept by the Chinese is also related to this cultural inheritance of populism, because socialism emphasizes equality.The period when China's populist society was finally formed is generally considered to be the Song Dynasty, because hundreds of years of war from the Middle Tang Dynasty to the Five Dynasties destroyed all the aristocratic families from the Han Dynasty to the Tang Dynasty, and the entire social class was reshuffled.More importantly, the imperial examination system matured in the Song Dynasty. Although the imperial examination system was formed in the Sui and Tang Dynasties, some privileges of the dignitaries at that time were still protected. Conferring different grades, most of the candidates at that time were from the gentry.But since the Song Dynasty, the imperial examination system has truly become the most important channel for becoming an official, and other channels for fame and fortune have been closed.Mr. Qian Mu said: "On the changes in ancient and modern Chinese society, the most important thing is the Song Dynasty. Before the Song Dynasty, it can be roughly called ancient China, and after the Song Dynasty, it is the descendant China. Before the Qin Dynasty, it was a feudal aristocratic society. After the Eastern Han Dynasty, the gentry family rose. The Wei, Jin, Southern and Northern Dynasties, as far as the Sui and Tang Dynasties, belonged to the family society, which can be called an aristocratic society in disguise in ancient times. After the Song Dynasty, it was a purely civilian society. Except for the privileged class of Mongolian and Manchuria, they rose to the political upper class Those who were born were all picked up from the ground by scholars in white clothes, and there is no remains of the ancient feudal nobles and family traditions. Therefore, as far as the Song Dynasty is concerned, political economy, social life, and life have not changed from the previous era."
China is a civilian society, and this is probably the most significant difference between Chinese and Western societies.In the UK, which type of newspaper a person reads can roughly represent your class identity. If you are an upper class, you should read newspapers such as "The Times". For newspapers like The Sun, everyone takes their place, and they feel at ease, and the well water does not violate the river water.In China, from taxi drivers to ministers of the Republic, everyone reads "Reference News" and "Global Times".The advantages and disadvantages of civilian society are very clear: from the aspect of advantages, it is full of opportunities and vitality, and it is new every day, new every day, and it is very exciting; dazzled.No nation in the world has changed its life and social status so quickly in such a short period of time.Judging from the situation of the past 30 years, almost any durable consumer goods in China, from air conditioners, color TVs, refrigerators to cars, houses (if they can be counted as durable consumer goods), have become popular within ten years. People's strong desire and actions to change their own destiny are rooted in the concept of equality and herd mentality in our culture. What you have, I also have. The gap should not be too large.
The recent "big mom" phenomenon caught the whole world by surprise.In an ordinary family in China, the aunt is in charge of the whole family’s money (the socialist system has liberated women), she has retired in her 50s, she has endless energy, and she has invested in the market economy in her own unique way (Chinese secularism Cultural performance), buying real estate, speculating in stocks, buying bottoms in the Western gold market, and joining the world series-traveling from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan to Europe and the United States.This is a rare "popular economy" phenomenon in the world.Chinese "aunts" don't understand the esoteric theories of Western economics, but based on common sense judgments, they dare to throw themselves into the battle wholeheartedly. He succeeds every time, and of course there are not a few people who are trapped.In the international gold market, China's "Aunt" played against Wall Street's financial giants, and the word dama was quickly integrated into the English financial dictionary.
The biggest attraction of a civilian society is that it is bustling, bustling, and complex becomes simple, turning all "high-end atmosphere and class" into lower Liba people, so Western court dances become Chinese square dances, and Western classical music becomes Chinese popular music, Western notation has become Chinese numbered notation, and Chinese crossing the road—this is my country, my city, who am I afraid of.The West says that there is no freedom of speech in China, but taxi drivers in Beijing can comment on the latest Politburo meetings and personnel changes for you.A civilian society is a little less aristocratic, a little more rustic and street style, a little less elegant, but not lacking in splendor; it looks a little chaotic, but orderly in chaos.People who feel good think this kind of society is "cool"; people who feel average think this kind of society is a bit "chaotic", but there are really "many" opportunities; people who feel bad will quickly find their own circle and entertain themselves , not to meddle with you.
Of course, Chinese people have great ambitions. We are not satisfied with just a "vibrant society", but also want to turn this society into a "warm society" and a "beautiful homeland".Using this standard, there are indeed many problems in Chinese society, from jaywalking to queuing, from lack of integrity to moral decline. We must face up to and seriously address these problems.If we can do it as seriously as catching drunk driving and "family planning", then our various social problems will be gradually solved.At the same time, we must not make generalizations or be pessimistic. Many problems exist all over the world, but to varying degrees. The 1.3 billion Chinese were brought into the market economy at once, and the 7.8 billion farmers were drawn into urbanization at once. Such a rapidly changing society will inevitably have various unsuitable, inappropriate, irregular, and even unhealthy phenomena.In the history of the development of major countries in the world, no country can avoid this situation.Fortunately, the Chinese nation is a nation with a profound cultural background. We ordinary people have some rare qualities that deserve our understanding and gratitude, such as hard work, upward, and peaceful qualities.No matter where they go, Chinese people are always working, busy, recharging their batteries, and trying to change their own destiny. This is due to the hardworking and progressive genes of the Chinese people. A key reason for improving so quickly.Our folk customs are generally peaceful, which is also one of the most valuable traits in Chinese society.I have said a hypothesis many times that if Shanghai (or any big Chinese city), Paris, and New York were to have a power outage at the same time tonight, I would estimate that the crime rate in Paris would be one to two times higher than in Shanghai, and the crime rate in New York would be three times higher than Shanghai to five times.This is essentially determined by folk customs.In China, you can drive your car into any small town, any village, and you feel safe, but in most countries in the world, this is an unimaginable luxury.
Our society still lacks some elegance, lacks some order, lacks some warmth, lacks some gentleness, respectfulness and frugality. Although our civilization has always contained these elements, long-term poverty, resource shortages, war reparations, political campaigns, excessive marketization tendencies, etc. And so on, which caused our problems: the failure of the First Sino-Japanese War, we were forced to compensate Japan 230 million taels of silver, which was equivalent to the fiscal revenue of the Chinese government for three years at that time. silver.So far, the entire country and people have fallen into a state of impoverishment, and poverty has brought more famines, wars and corruption of the people.The culture of praising the proletarians in our political movement has also gone crazy. During the "Cultural Revolution", elegance, order, and warmth were all criticized, and even brushing your teeth twice a day was regarded as bourgeois.More than half of the residents in all our cities and towns today are urbanites for the first time, and they have not fully adapted to and learned the norms of civic life on the whole.
Building a "warm society" and a "beautiful home" will take time.Our economy has developed and our life has become richer, but some good habits have not yet been formed. These habits need education, domestication, nurturing, time and investment.Fortunately, the construction of a "beautiful homeland" is firstly reflected in the people's optimism about the future of themselves and their country.We still have many unsatisfactory places, but our tomorrow will be even better. The positive and optimistic spirit of the Chinese people has been reflected in one poll after another.According to a 2013 transnational poll conducted by the Pew Center of the United States, 85% of Chinese people are “very satisfied” with the direction of their country’s development. In the United States and the United Kingdom, the proportions are 31% and 25% respectively.The UK-based WWP Group released a survey report titled "The Power and Potential of the Chinese Dream," arguing that "the attractiveness of the Chinese Dream may surpass that of the American Dream in the future."More than one-third of the Chinese people surveyed believe that the United States is an "ideal country" in the world today, but this view is limited to the current situation. 42% of the Chinese people believe that in another 10 years, China will become an "ideal country." ".I think the "ideal country" here should be the sum of "vigorous society", "warm society" and "beautiful homeland".
I divide the construction of Chinese society into two steps, the first step is to "send charcoal in the snow", and the second step is "icing on the cake".In the first 30 years of our reform and opening up, we have completed the "send charcoal in the snow", and the whole society has achieved a fairly high level of food and clothing; beautiful home".In such a society, "patriotism, dedication, integrity, and friendliness" will gradually become the mainstream value, "gentleness, courtesy, and thrift" will gradually become the social atmosphere, and "truth, kindness, and beauty" will gradually become the coordinates of social development: "truth" is Sincerity; "kindness" means being kind to others; "beauty" means order and elegance, a good civic culture, and a livable ecological civilization.We have condensed the road that the West has traveled for two to three hundred years into about 30 years, but when our hardware has caught up with or even surpassed that of the West (this in itself is also a remarkable achievement), our software construction will also catch up, and even beyond.Our vision must be broad.If we say that in the past 30 years, we have completed the work of "sending charcoal in the snow", built a strong and prosperous economy, and created the world's largest middle class, our next goal is to "add the icing on the cake", which is Let all aspects of our social life become perfect, refined and even perfect, and make our society truly a "vibrant society", a "warm society" and a "beautiful home" belonging to the vast majority of people.
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