Chapter 12 5. The law of the great era: thinking innovation, leading the fierce collision of old and new thinking

In the consideration of geopolitics, strong geographical factors determine the living environment of countries and nations, and also determine the differences between countries and nations, and between nations. It is China's unique geographical form that determines China's relatively closed and independent living environment, and it is precisely for this reason that China's agricultural civilization and economy can develop in a relatively peaceful environment until historical conditions and The highest altitude allowed under natural conditions. Topic introduction: The root cause of thinking disease in history - economic puppet at the mercy of others - night watchman of the people

Regarding the discussion of the reasons for the rise of great powers, we have already found the answer. The answer is extraverted thinking. The so-called export-oriented thinking means the country's export-oriented strategy. Whether it uses peaceful means to develop the world market or uses strong ships and guns to achieve this goal, the final result is to stand tall in the financial and commercial fields. When we figure out this problem, it actually means the beginning of a new problem. Why have we never had extraverted thinking? Why did we have an opportunity to "go global", but it disappeared silently?

And, when a series of changes have taken place in our lives, does it mean that our eyes have fallen outside the country?In the next 10 years, will we go further, or stay in place and hesitate? The answers to these questions are far from being clear in just a few words. The future is uncertain, and we cannot fully see it clearly. Answer. We often say that a nation has a national character, and a nation has a national characteristic, but we do not know that character and characteristics are formed in a specific environment. In the consideration of geopolitics, strong geographical factors determine the living environment of countries and nations, and also determine the differences between countries and nations, and between nations.

For example, in history, China has always been a continental country facing the sea with one side, while the United Kingdom, the United States, and even the older Rome are all maritime countries located on islands, peninsulas, or facing the sea on both sides. Germany, which is at the core of the European continent, lives in an environment surrounded by other countries, and is located in the core area of ​​geopolitics. Because of such differences, the development strategy of a country has great geographical characteristics. For example, in the east of China is the boundless Pacific Ocean, in the southwest is the Himalayas as a barrier, in the south is the untouched Hengduan Mountains and tropical jungles, in the northwest is the alpine Pamirs, and in the north is the daunting Siberia. wilderness.

It is this unique geographical form that determines China's relatively closed and independent living environment, and it is precisely for this reason that China's agricultural civilization and economy can develop in a relatively peaceful environment until historical conditions and the highest height allowed under natural conditions. In this sense, the reason why we have never “goed out” in the past 3,000 years is that under our unique geographical conditions, we have become accustomed to seeking development behind closed doors. When our national character is, it means that it is a part of our thinking mode. Any attempt to deviate from the orthodox will be regarded as a scourge and be attacked by the whole society.

When we are used to seeking development behind closed doors, an unexpected problem arises. The long-term internal strategic model makes our economy lack sufficient resistance, especially when external factors are unfavorable, the resulting problems are often more serious. When we are used to judging the international situation based on our own feelings, it is difficult to accurately form a forward-looking judgment and grasp of the trend. Just like the situation in this economic crisis, when the crisis in European and American countries worsened, we not only failed to take effective precautions, but even took a gloating attitude. However, when the crisis worsened, we were surprised We found out that the harm we have suffered is far greater than that of the European and American countries that are at the source of the crisis.

Everyone knows the fact that in the past ten years, we have been at the end of the value chain, putting in the most hard work and work, but getting the least benefit. On the contrary, the entire United States has been At the same time, the wealth that did not belong to them was quietly consumed. When the whole of the United States takes advantage of loose consumer credit conditions to live beyond their means, and when ordinary people buy cars and houses with graded loans, it is Japan, Saudi Arabia, and countries with huge dollar reserves in their hands who are paying for these people. Americans don't care about such a crisis, because they hold an iron trump card in their hands-the depreciation of the dollar.

It is conceivable that the U.S. dollar has already become a global currency, so if the U.S. dollar depreciates by half, commodities denominated in U.S. dollars will double accordingly. Bad financial debts will eventually be lost to the countries that hold the US dollar. The more US dollar reserves in their hands, the greater the damage they will suffer. In this sense, every decline in the purchasing power of the dollar means that the United States has once again escaped the astronomical debt. The reason for this tragic outcome, and the reason we behave like economic puppets at the mercy of a crisis like this, is that we have not, for a long time, actively participated in the economic game of the world , and when we think about this, we no longer have a place on the round table of economic powers.

In the past 10 years, our RMB does not have the function of international payment, which makes us want to realize the export-oriented strategy of "going out", we must first sell our resources and the products we manufacture at a low price, In exchange for dollars that may turn into waste paper at any time, bear the financial bad debts of the United States, and pay for the advanced consumption of every American. This is a sad process, but when we realize this, it means that a trade war with a collision of ideas is in full swing, and in this war, all A force that is almost fading out of our sight, it is destined to play a major role.

The source of this power is none other than our government. In the past 10 years, China's transition to a market economy can be regarded as a great achievement. However, we must realize that China's market economy is carried out in an extremely uneven structure. In the previous discussion, we know that the reason for stimulating domestic demand is that our people’s consumption capacity is seriously insufficient, and the reason for this phenomenon is that our income is still insufficient and we lack a solid middle class. To support the underdeveloped national economy. A fact that we all know is that under China's current economic structure, the people have very little capital wealth.

If we understand the world economy, we will find a very amazing thing: in almost all countries, when the per capita GDP exceeds one thousand US dollars, the distribution of national income is concentrated on individuals rather than The government, on the other hand, looks at China. As early as 2003, we had broken through the $1,000 threshold. However, the benefits of GDP growth are hardly reflected in the income of ordinary people. Since the people's income has not been increased for a long time, their consumption capacity has stagnated. When our production capacity reaches an unprecedented height, there will inevitably be a large surplus of products produced. Then these commodities can only be exported. Can only rely on foreign demand for consumption. We have paid resources and labor, but what we get back is paper currency that may depreciate at any time. This situation is unacceptable. What's more serious is that when the gold and silver standard system was abolished, banknotes without the protection of precious metals directly became a symbol of wealth. Therefore, the strong currency represented by the US dollar became the universal settlement currency and reserve currency. There is nothing wrong with such a situation, but the person who holds the right to issue currency is not a just and selfless God. As long as they have the desire to plunder resource wealth by issuing banknotes indiscriminately, someone is doomed to become a victim, just as we have seen this time as experienced. The exposure of the disadvantages of poor people directly shows that our private capital is not enough to carry out the foreign trade war to the end, and the large outflow of resource wealth has exhausted our ability to fight a protracted war.Therefore, the state must get deeply involved in economic activities and act as the night watchman for the people. The national interest itself requires that the government must have the function of the main body of economic activities, which is not only reflected in theory.In reality, our government controls more than three-quarters of the monetary wealth of the whole society, and almost all of the resource wealth. Calculated by China's total resources, such power is astonishing. When our government takes action to fully control resources and use them rationally, it means that we will replace currency reserves with physical reserves, so as to prevent the plundering of wealth by powerful currency issuers to the greatest extent. When our government takes action and invests huge sums of money in the national economy and science and technology fields, it means that our technological level and R&D capabilities will be improved in an all-round way, which will bring about the increase of national income and the accumulation of national wealth. It is conceivable that when our wealth accumulates to a certain level, we will have the conditions to create and improve the social security system. When all these are established, we will initially have the ability to resist risks, so that The Chinese nation has emerged from the haze of crisis.