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Looking forward to China in 2020

Looking forward to China in 2020

陈斯文

  • political economy

    Category
  • 1970-01-01Published
  • 134980

    Completed
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Chapter 1 Preface Ten years of hard work, ten years of journey

An unprecedented era is unfolding before our eyes. The greatness of the times does not lie in the geometry of the span. Compared with the long history of China, no time period is too big. The greatness of the era does not lie in the prosperity of civilization. There are many flourishing ages of Chinese civilization, and no one can be called a great era. The greatness of an era lies in its merits. Only those historical stages that can inherit the past and usher in the future can have the honor of being "big". The closest era to us is the Revolution of 1911 a hundred years ago. In that age of turmoil and thunder, the trend of thought was changing, the society was ups and downs, and there was a change in the system and a new atmosphere, which set a precedent for the Chinese nation.

Today, we have once again entered the great era, which has lasted for nearly ten years. Taking twenty years as a social cycle, our itinerary has been nearly halfway. Since 2000, we have witnessed too much prosperity and decline, prosperity and depression, splendor and gloom. All these changes are a social law that goes back and forth, but they always come when we are caught off guard. The reason why we are dizzy and confused is not because of the sudden change, but because we lack understanding of the laws of social operation, and we are even less sure of the characteristics of the great era.

We can forget about the successes and failures of the past 10 years, but we cannot turn a blind eye to the laws behind these changes, otherwise it will be difficult for us to succeed and more likely to suffer failure. We can regard the 10-year process as history, but we have to know where the forces leading the social process come from. As the ancient Roman historian Polybius said, if we look at the major events of the past one by one, everything in the past will make us pay special attention to the future. The key to our grasp of the future lies in our understanding of the laws. Changes in any event must be controlled by laws. All kinds of events emerge one after another, but the laws remain the same. If we can grasp the laws, it will be enough to keep our minds clear in the chaotic situation, and in the unfinished era. Smile and watch the meeting.

When we walked through the first ten years of the great era and were dazzled by the scene after scene, did we ever think about the philosopher's speculative proposition: What exactly is manipulating social change? In other words, how much do we really know about the laws that cause change? This is a concept similar to the principles of Buddhism and Confucianism. Only when it is based on laws can it adapt to changes and stay in place. Even if we create greatness without knowing how to create it, greatness is worthless. Even when we fail, if we are ignorant of why we failed, then our failure is meaningless.

We must find the laws, sort them out one by one, and discern which law affects destiny, which law promotes society, which law leads to change, and which law subverts the world. Whether it is capital, technology, natural law, or way of thinking, no matter who is in charge of ups and downs, we must find them. In addition, we must also have an understanding of the great era. From the beginning of 2000 to the end of 2020, in this short period of 20 years, what kind of changes Chinese society has undergone, our starting point Where will we be, where will we settle down. We need rational thinking. Only in this way can we win by surprise in decisive actions. Therefore, we need an all-round insight, ranging from national policy debates to small ones, as many as ordinary people, and as few as a few individuals. It is necessary to consider multiple variables and factors at the same time, find the inner principle, and then join the trend of the big era.

Because of this, we put aside superficial problems, use ten years as capital, and use careful consideration as a means to build a full The sharpened sword of law will devote itself to the journey of the next ten years without hesitation. In this book that condenses thinking and argumentation, we are fighting a battle of wisdom with ourselves. The so-called fighting refers to the discussion of social laws from different perspectives. What needs to be known is that laws will never disappear with the development of the times. On the contrary, in view of the universality of laws, the behaviors, motivations and thinking of predecessors, It is no different from what we have now, and because of this, the purpose of writing this book is not to make predictions, but to emphasize the cultivation of forward-looking methods.

As you know, in the book "The Great Times, China 2020", you may find your own path. The existence of the Tao is the existence of the heart. It is for sequence.
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