Chapter 24 Be vigilant: American chariots have arrived at the gate of China

When the influential Phoenix Satellite TV "Century Lecture Hall" was talking about "Reflection on Globalization," someone asked Fang Ning why he chose to study politics.He made a rather "political" answer at the time.He said: "Why study politics? It originated from learning the theory of continuing revolution under the dictatorship of the proletariat when jumping in line." I don't know if Fang Ning said this out of humor at the time, at least many people present took it as political humor. Not long after that, Fang Ning gave a lecture at a university in Beijing, and someone asked the same question again. Fang Ning took a lot of effort to answer, and this time the explanation seemed more reasonable.

Fang Ning grew up in the courtyard of Renmin University of China. His grandfather was a well-known doctor of traditional Chinese medicine in Beijing for three generations. In 1975, 18-year-old Fang Ning came to Shangdi Village on the outskirts of Beijing to jump in the queue.Shangdi is the place where troops were stationed in the Han Dynasty and is a cultural site in the Beijing area.Perhaps due to the inheritance of history and culture, many girls and boys in the village can write and draw, sing and dance, and are outstanding talents, no less than the "educated youth" from the city.But soon, Fang Ning discovered that almost all the young men in this village married wives from the poorer Sanhe County, Hebei Province, while the girls in this village had to marry city people no matter what, even if they were not loved by grandma or uncle Yes, you have to make do with it.The flow of sexual resources can best reflect the differences in a society, and it nakedly reveals the social hierarchy and gaps to people.The reality made Fang Ning, who wholeheartedly responded to Chairman Mao's call and was full of idealism, see the reality of society and the reality of life.He once said that the experience in the countryside made him feel confused and desolate, and it also made him pay attention to life, society, and people's fate.It was this complex that prompted him to decide to study social sciences after the national college entrance examination system was restored in 1977.

At the end of 1977, Fang Ning got his wish and was admitted to the Department of Political Science and Education of Beijing Normal University at that time. Four years later, he graduated with honors and stayed at the school as a teacher.Anyone who has listened to Fang Ning's classes or lectures has appreciated his eloquence. His excellent eloquence made his teaching career very smooth, and his continuous extraordinary promotion made him become a professor at the fastest speed among his classmates and peers. Until 2001, he was transferred to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences as the deputy director of the Institute of Political Science.

Those who pay attention to Fang Ning will find that Fang Ning's life path is not much legendary, it can be said to be a smooth life.But from an "intellectual youth" who jumped in the queue in the countryside to a famous political scholar, Fang Ning has achieved an irreplaceable position in the Chinese ideological circle in just over 20 years.He always has a unique voice at the critical moment, and his thinking is indisputably forward-looking.He is undoubtedly a Chinese who is truly at the forefront of thought. The best example of Fang Ning's quality as a thinker is his prediction of the world pattern in his book "China's Road Under the Shadow of Globalization", all of which were verified after a few years.

First look at a paragraph of Fang Ning’s text in the chapter "Discrimination and Analysis of the Future World Strategic Pattern" in "China's Road Under the Shadow of Globalization": "The United States dismembered Yugoslavia through NATO's eastward expansion. While approaching Russia further, the United States has already crossed Russia and looked towards China in the Far East. At present, people focus on NATO's eastward expansion on NATO's encirclement and containment of Russia. In fact, the 'polar bear' has been put in a cage by the US. The goal of NATO's eastward expansion is not limited to besieging Russia.

"While the United States is vigorously promoting NATO's eastward expansion, it is also instigating westward expansion with the same intensity. Just when the United States and NATO allies bombed Yugoslavia, the 'NATO in Asia' - the 'New Japan-US Defense Cooperation Guidelines' was introduced. If we say NATO is expanding eastward, and the United States is still looking to Sichuan, so this 'NATO in Asia' is blatantly targeting China." At the same time as Fang Ning predicted, in 1999, NATO accepted the three Eastern European countries including the Czech Republic to join NATO.Although Russia has repeatedly stated its opposition to NATO's eastward expansion, NATO does not take Russia seriously. The meeting of NATO member states held in Prague in November 2002 decided that NATO would continue to expand eastward, including seven Central and Eastern European countries including Romania, Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Slovenia and Slovakia. the most.This brings the number of NATO member states to 26.NATO has lowered standards and is eager to expand eastward. Its real purpose is to squeeze Russia's sphere of influence, control the affairs of Central and Eastern Europe, and enhance its military projection capabilities to West Asia and Southern Europe.NATO's eastward expansion targets are the countries in Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union. This is Russia's soft belly, and its spearhead is obviously aimed at Russia.Now, NATO has advanced the defense line to Russia's doorstep, only tens of kilometers away from St. Petersburg. From a geopolitical perspective, Russia's strategic room for maneuver has been greatly reduced.

And on December 9 of this year, NATO Secretary-General Robertson went to Moscow to appease Putin. Putin forced a smile on his face and said to the guests against his will: "NATO's eastward expansion should not cause tension, but promote trust. In NATO's decision After accepting new members, what is 'particularly important' to Russia is the 'actual content' of the cooperation between the two sides." - Fang Ning seemed to have seen this scene a few years ago, just as he predicted: "'Polar bear' has been The United States is locked in a cage.” Perhaps many Chinese strategists have seen this point, like Fang Ning, but what makes Fang Ning different is that during the Kosovo War in 1999, people paid attention to NATO’s squeeze and At the time of the siege, it has been further foreseen that the United States will leap over Russia and enter China's ultimate true intention.

After "9.11", the United States achieved a great strategic leap forward, occupying the hinterland of Central Asia in one fell swoop - Afghanistan, the strategic hub, and placed Pakistan and other Central Asian countries adjacent to China in its sphere of influence to varying degrees.The American chariot finally arrived at the gate of China.Fang Ning's prediction in 1999 was confirmed three years later. In the 2000 Taiwan general election, Taiwan independence forces came to power.The political situation on both sides of the Taiwan Strait has been affected by this, and the United States has made great efforts to take advantage of the situation in the Taiwan Strait and further intervene in East Asia.The Iraq war enabled the United States to control the lifeline of world oil while fully controlling the West Asia region.At present, it has turned its head around, and the sharp sword of the United States is already hanging on the head of North Korea, which is separated from China by a strip of water.What Fang Ning calls "joining China" is almost complete.

Fang Ning analyzed, summarized and generalized the ways in which the West has re-colonized third world countries and people under the shadow of globalization. He said that these are the three major policies of new imperialism—military control, political agency, and economic takeover.In Eastern Europe after the upheaval, in Argentina in Latin America, in Afghanistan and Iraq in Asia, isn't this what people see? Fang Ning argued that whether it is some developing countries that have been squeezed out of the international capital circulation and thus thrown out of the international capital circulation track, or a small number of developing countries taking advantage of various opportunities to initially realize industrialization and form a certain degree of competition with the West , neither of which is good news for the West.Because "the former makes the West lose part of its resources and markets; the latter poses a challenge to the West." In this way, post-colonialism will rebuild its rule, and post-colonialism must adopt the above three methods to control the third world countries.

But now it seems that many countries in Latin America have indeed partially lost their economic sovereignty, and the decision-making power of national macroeconomics has largely been subordinated to the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.After the Southeast Asian financial crisis broke out, many Asian countries also partially lost their economic sovereignty.After the Iraq war, the United States wholeheartedly supported a "shadow government" as a political proxy.Fang Ning’s prediction four years ago—that an era of re-colonization with a “hot war” instead of a “cold war” is coming—now sounds less alarmist.

Fang Ning's prediction of the Islamic world revolution is very metaphorical.In "Introduction to the Development of Modern Capitalism" published as early as 1995, he wrote: "In the coming century, it is very important for Islam, which is full of fighting spirit, to become a social force and a cultural force to contend with the West. Realistic. This is due first and foremost to the poverty, misery and oppression that neo-colonialism has brought upon the Islamic world, and the resulting mass indignation in the hearts of millions of Muslims over their misfortunes.” "Islam will be an important force in the third world in the future, and it can contend against the West because it has unique conditions. At present, there are more than 1 billion Muslims in the world, distributed in more than 80 countries, and in West Asia where Muslims are most concentrated , North Africa, are the regions with the most abundant natural resources, especially energy reserves on the earth. In fact, the influence of Islam is worldwide, and even in Europe, Islam has become the second largest religion. There are nearly 2 million Muslims in the UK, the same as Christianity. Likewise, Islam is a worldwide faith." In Fang Ning's view, the vast number of Third World countries that are exploited in the international cycle of capital will eventually fall into the "trap of development."In the era of re-colonization, facing an empire that was extremely powerful relative to itself, non-Western nations and people had to face the most profound clash of civilizations for their own survival, freedom and development, as well as their own beliefs and values. "September 11" made the United States speed up its pace of rebuilding its empire, and according to the logic revealed by Fang Ning, we have reason to believe that this is just preparing for a bigger conflict, and more tragic disasters and struggles are yet to come. So far, Fang Ning has predicted history, and the facts have proved his vision.Maybe we have reason to pay more attention to him and his theory, after all, his prophecy is right! The difference between a scholar and a thinker is that a scholar expounds after the event, while a thinker predicts before the event;As a thinker, Fang Ning did it. Much to the embarrassment of this insightful thinker, however, his elaborate theories and prescient ideas received little real attention in the 1990s.Some people call scholars like Fang Ning and Wang Xiaodong "embarrassed prophets".This can't help but remind people of the story of the German philosopher Nietzsche at the end of the 19th century.Nietzsche was crazy. He ran in the mountains and forests, standing on the top of the mountain and looking at the sea.Nietzsche saw the shadow of the sail in the sea and shouted to the people, but the people at the bottom of the mountain were ignorant.It’s not that the masses are ignorant, nor is it that Nietzsche is brilliant, but that Nietzsche saw something that people haven’t seen—this is actually exactly what happened to Fang Ning at the end of the 20th century.