Chapter 33 Chapter Thirty-Three: "Anti-indirect calculation" and the method of doubling and flattening the stop loss

Stock market investment attracts a large number of stockholders to fight in the stock market. However, because different people have great differences in experience, age, occupation, economic income, environment, knowledge level, psychological quality, etc., different types of people are very different from each other. There are different ways of thinking when buying stocks, and different tolerances in the face of risks.For example, a self-employed person with an annual income of more than 100,000 yuan must have a stronger risk tolerance than an employee who earns a monthly salary; Compared with people who frown on trivial matters, the former must be able to take greater risks than the latter.It is very important to understand your own attitude towards risk. This is because different investment behaviors and different investment portfolios have great differences in risk levels. Investors choose investment behaviors and investment portfolios according to their own risk tolerance. Only in this way can we avoid the unbearable blow caused by losing money.If you belong to a person with very low risk tolerance, but choose high-risk investment behavior and investment portfolio, then you will not be able to bear the blow of possible losses both psychologically and financially.

For a wealthy person, if you have hundreds of thousands of yuan or more bank deposits on hand, and at the same time have a normal and stable monthly economic income to maintain a relatively high level of family life, then your perception of risk The ability to bear should be very strong, and at least a loss of several thousand yuan is insignificant to you.Similarly, even if you earn thousands of dollars by investing in stocks, you will not feel satisfied.If that's the case, you'd do well to adopt a maximization mindset when determining the number of shares to buy.As a result of doing so, you can get as much satisfaction as possible within the scope of the risks you can bear.Therefore, you should choose the most profitable option among the many options.That is to say, the possibility of making a profit is the main basis for decision-making.

For a mediocre person, if you currently only have one or two thousand yuan in savings, and your normal and stable monthly income can only maintain a normal level of family life, then your risk tolerance should be very low. A few thousand dollars in investment losses can wipe out years of savings.Similarly, if you can make a few thousand yuan in stock trading, you will get the greatest satisfaction from it, even if you only earn a few hundred yuan, you will be very happy.In this case, when you determine the number of stocks to buy, you still adopt the thinking mode of pursuing the least risk.In this way, you can engage in stock trading without taking too much risk.Therefore, you should choose the option with the least risk among many options, that is, take the size of the risk as the main basis for decision-making.

In daily life, there are often people like this: after almost everything they do, they always have an inexplicable sense of regret. Take stock trading as an example, after the stock price rises and they make money, this kind of person will As much as he regrets why he didn't buy more when the price was low, we can also hear him moan about why he didn't sell when the price was higher, after the stock has fallen and lost money.If you belong to this kind of person, no matter how much money you have on hand, you'd better stay away from the stock market.If you are naturally difficult to attack, and you can't stand the temptation of stock trading.Well, when deciding on the number of shares to buy, it's best to adopt a mindset that seeks the least degree of regret.Therefore, for stocks, you'd better adopt the plan of buying in small quantities.Only by doing this can you ensure that your regret will be minimized in the future; if the stock price falls, you will feel fortunate that you did not buy too much at the beginning; Make you some money.In short, the way of thinking of prudent people should be: if the expected value of profit is positive, they should buy more stocks under the premise of financial resources; and when the expected value of profit is negative, they should buy less stocks accordingly.Of course, the expected value of profit is difficult to grasp in actual operation.However, as long as you follow the following principles, you can buy more when the price of a certain stock is rising; As for regretting his actions.

Above, we have introduced to you the different ways of thinking that different types of investors should determine when buying stocks.Similarly, once risks come and losses are inevitable, different types of investors also have different countermeasures.Most small investors will sell all the stocks in their hands to control the loss to a minimum. This is called simple stop loss.We have introduced it in the section "Li Daitao Stiffness".But for those with strong strength, they are not satisfied with this.They hope that they can control the risk, take advantage of the risk, make up for the loss in the risk, and make a profit.This is incredible for small investors: when risks come, it is too late to avoid them. It is a good thing not to lose too much, so how can they take advantage of risks?In fact, there is such an operation method in the stock market.This is like in a battle, when the enemy sends a spy, most generals will kill or imprison him, but clever generals will use him, control him, and achieve their goals through the enemy.In the "Thirty-six Strategies", this move is called "Anti-intermediate Strategies".

"Anti-interference strategy" is the third strategy of the sixth set of defeat strategies in "Thirty-six Strategies": "Suspect within doubt. Compared with self-inner, not self-lost." It means: in the means of deceiving the enemy, another arrangement A layer of "fog", taking advantage of the opportunity to use the spies in the enemy's base to assist me in my work, can effectively protect myself and strive for victory.When the two armies are at war, the enemy will send spies to spy on us. I will either bribe them generously and use them for me instead; up.To use countermeasures, it is necessary to understand the reaction and actions of the enemy generals to the information they know.Find ways to make the enemy act in a direction that is beneficial to you, and use the enemy's mistakes to achieve the goal of victory.After Song Taizu Zhao Kuangyin ascended the throne, Xi Ping Shu and Nan Ping Han gained great prestige. Only the Southern Tang regime in the south of the Yangtze River has not yet surrendered.Li Yu, the empress of the Southern Tang Dynasty, also felt lonely and invincible, so he sent his younger brother Li Congshan to meet Song Jun, expressing his willingness to remove the title of the Southern Tang Dynasty and change the seal to "Jiangnan Kingdom Lord". While others were sleeping soundly, Song Taizu never forgot to conquer the Southern Tang Dynasty.

There is a brave general named Lin Renzhao under Li Yu, who is trying his best to fight, and wants to compete with the Song Dynasty.Song Taizu also knew that he was brave and did not dare to underestimate the enemy, so he would not attack Nantang for the time being, but he was actively planning in private, and he wanted to get rid of it quickly. At this time, Li Congshan came to the Song Dynasty to see him again. Song Taizu intended to keep him and named him the military governor of Taishou. Li Yu felt that his younger brother stayed in the Song Dynasty and could listen to the news, so he allowed Congshan to stay in the Song Dynasty for a long time.

In order to get rid of Lin Renzhao, Song Taizu sent an envoy who was good at painting across the river to visit Lin Renrong. After returning, he painted a portrait of him and hung it in the palace. Go up and ask the servant.The servant pretended to be mysterious and dealt with it vaguely. After a long while, he said: "Since your step is serving in Beijing, you may as well speak out. The emperor loves Renzhao's talent very much, and specially issued an edict to order him to come. Renzhao has already agreed. , send this image first as a proof." Then he said, "I heard that the emperor has given a mansion to General Lin, and in the future, at least one Jiedu envoy will be appointed."

Li Congshan heard it in his ears and kept it in his heart, so he sent an envoy back to Southern Tang.Li Yu got the letter, and immediately summoned Lin Renzhao to ask him if he had received the imperial edict from Song Taizu.Lin Renzhao didn't know the details, so he repeatedly denied it.However, Li Yu had preconceived it and did not inquire clearly. He suspected that Ren Zhao was deliberately deceiving.Immediately, he was given a banquet and secretly poisoned. Not long after returning home, he bled to death from his seven orifices.After the enemy was eliminated, Song Taizu ordered to march into the south of the Yangtze River, and finally wiped out the Southern Tang Dynasty.

The success of Song Taizu's "anti-indirect strategy" lies in the fact that he skillfully used the enemy to achieve his own purpose.For investors, risk is the biggest enemy.For some investors who have rich experience in stock trading and strong financial strength, they hope to make money even in risks, that is, to take advantage of risks to make profits.This is the "countermeasure" in the stock market.Below, the author introduces two related methods. Method 1: Double the stop loss.It means that when the stock price is expected to rise but the actual stock price is falling, not only sell the stocks you just bought, but also sell the stocks you bought before, so as to achieve the purpose of overall profit.For example: An investor bought 100 shares when the price of a certain stock was 20 yuan, and then the stock price gradually rose to 40 yuan.At this time, the investor expected that the price would still rise, so he bought another 100 shares at a price of 40 yuan.However, since then, the stock price has reversed from rising to falling.Under such circumstances, he was still not sure whether the stock price drop was a general trend, a small trend, or a temporary adjustment, so he began to figure out when to sell the 200 shares in his hand to make a slight profit.Because the purchase cost of the stocks in his hand is 6,000 yuan, and the average cost is 30 yuan, so as long as he sells all the stocks in his hand at a price of 30 yuan, he can save his capital. Money can be earned.When he has this bottom line in his mind, he can wait and see what happens.If the stock market price can change the trend when it is above 30 yuan, he should and is sure that it is the general trend before he sells all the stocks in his hand.This is a typical doubling and eclipse method.With this method of operation, you must know the average cost of the stocks in your hands in order to determine the selling price.

Method 2: Flatten the stop loss method.This method is suitable for investors with very rich experience and extremely strong financial strength.These people often not only focus on this round of rubber price changes, but also care about the next round of stock price changes.They hope to obtain paper profits when the stock price falls, and then turn the paper profits into real profits when the stock price rises. For example, an investor actually buys 100 shares of a certain stock when the price is 20 yuan.At this time, the investor already had a premonition that the stock price would continue to fall, so he quickly sold the 100 shares in his hand and recovered 1,500 yuan of funds, with an actual loss of 500 yuan.Next, he does not change the direction of investment, but continues to keep an eye on the changes in the price of the stock. When the stock price drops to a price that he thinks it is impossible to re-embed, for example, when it falls to 5 yuan, he will use 500 yuan to buy 100 yuan. so-so.Now, compared with before, the number of stocks he holds has not changed, all are 160 shares, but he has recovered 1,000 yuan at the same time, that is, he has made a book profit of 1,000 yuan.Because the average cost of stocks held by this investor is 10 yuan, as long as the stock price can rise to 10 yuan in the future, the book profit of 1,000 yuan can be realized by selling the stocks.This is a typical flat stop loss method. In actual operation, once the stock price trend is formed, it will last for a period of time. If a downtrend is formed, everyone can estimate the downtrend. Then, in the downtrend, the rebound of the stock price will be very limited. If you buy more in the middle, if you are not sure, you will be involved in the trend, and you will be trapped deeper and deeper. Not only will the loss not be recovered, but even greater losses will be caused.The more times of flattening and the closer the price points are, the greater the possibility of loss.Therefore, this method is only suitable for investors with rich market experience and strong financial strength. The above two "countermeasures" can be said to have their own advantages and disadvantages, and stock investors should find out the method that suits them in actual operation.But these two countermeasures have a common feature: they are only applicable to large investors.For the vast majority of small and medium investors, it is best to use the simple method, because although "anti-indirect calculation" is effective, it is also very risky. Both methods should not be used.